Eredivisie
Telstar - Ajax
08/30/2026, 02:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Telstar
Ajax
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
29%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Offensive upswing: Telstar currently scores more often (1.8) than their season average, while Ajax averaged 3.0 goals recently
- Tactical dominance: Ajax averaged 8.0 shots on target in recent matches with 62.4% possession
- Weakened squad: Telstar is missing 5 key players, leaving only 70% of their typical starting lineup threat available
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Ajax enters the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Artificial turf resistance: Ajax remains unbeaten on artificial turf with 4 wins and 5 draws
- Low offensive output: Telstar averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Telstar hosts Ajax at the BUKO Stadion
Eredivisie match on August 30, 2026, 4:45 PM
Telstar is currently in 13th place with 3 points, while Ajax sits in 9th place with 4 points
The mathematical prediction favors Ajax with a 43% probability
The expected goals are calculated at 1.16 for Telstar and 1.47 for Ajax
近期状态
Telstar holds a form of DWWWL, coming off a recent loss
The home side recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
Ajax enters with a form of WDDWW after a victory in their last match
The visitors remain undefeated in their last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws
统计数据
Telstar averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded last season
Ajax averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per match
Telstar scores 1.41 goals per home game on average
Ajax concedes 1.41 goals per away game on average
历史交锋
Two head-to-head encounters are on record
Ajax won both matches with a total goal difference of 5:2
The last meeting on January 11, 2026, ended in a 3:2 away victory for Ajax
关键球员
Jeff Hardeveld anchors the midfield for Telstar with 6 goals and 7 assists
Patrick Brouwer contributed 7 goals and 6 assists this season
Davy Klaassen is in rising form for Ajax with 8 goals and a 7.20 recent rating
Not in lineup for Telstar: Sem van Duijn, Danny Bakker, Tyrese Noslin, Soufiane Hetli, Guus Offerhaus
Not in lineup for Ajax: Youri Baas, Youri Regeer
门将
Ronald Koeman Jr. starts in goal for Telstar with a season rating of 7.27
Marc-André ter Stegen features as the goalkeeper for Ajax
Telstar recorded 5 clean sheets last season, while Ajax kept 11 clean sheets
影响因素
The BUKO Stadion has a high-scoring history with an average of 3.6 goals per game
The match will be played on artificial turf
Telstar has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses on artificial turf
Ajax is undefeated on artificial turf with 4 wins and 5 draws