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Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen

08/29/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
PEC Zwolle
1.0
Total xG
2.5
NEC Nijmegen
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
PZNN

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.75
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.42
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
12%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)

NEC Nijmegen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.86
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.09
Darko Nejasmic未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.27
+1.27
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

29%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

51%

否

49%

关键因素
  • Squad weakness: NEC Nijmegen are without Darko Nejasmic (4 goals, 1 assist), leaving them with only 88% of their usual starting strength
  • Tactical advantage: NEC Nijmegen recently averaged 5.8 shots on target compared to just 3.2 by PEC Zwolle
  • Model prediction: The mathematical simulation suggests an away win for Nijmegen with a probability of 49%
风险因素
  • Short rest: NEC Nijmegen enters this away fixture with only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Stalling attack: PEC Zwolle's goal production has dropped recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their 1.3 season average
  • Away defensive struggles: NEC Nijmegen concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game this season
概述

PEC Zwolle (14th place, 3 points) host NEC Nijmegen (11th place, 3 points)

Eredivisie match on August 29, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both sides seek to secure their position in the mid-table

近期状态

PEC Zwolle comes with a form of LLLLW and won their last match

NEC Nijmegen travels with a form of LWWLL, following two defeats

Zwolle recently secured a 2-0 away victory against SC Heerenveen

统计数据

PEC Zwolle averages 1.29 goals scored and 2.09 conceded this season

NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.26 goals and concedes 1.56

Zwolle has a balanced goal difference of 21-21 at home

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

0 home wins for PEC Zwolle, 3 wins for NEC Nijmegen, and 1 draw

The last encounter on January 24, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Nijmegen

关键球员

Koen Kostons leads the hosts' attack with 11 season goals

Thijs Oosting is on a rising form trend with 2 assists recently

Tjaronn Chery dictates the visitors' midfield with 10 goals and 6 assists

门将

Jasper Schendelaar shows rising form for Zwolle with a 7.33 rating

Gonzalo Crettaz starts for Nijmegen with a declining trend

PEC Zwolle has kept 6 clean sheets this season compared to Nijmegen's 5

影响因素

The match takes place on artificial turf at the MAC³PARK Stadion

Zwolle recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats on artificial turf

Nijmegen travels with a strong record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeat on this surface

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