Eredivisie
AZ - Go Ahead Eagles
08/29/2026, 04:45 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.4
1.0
2:0
10%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%xG 分解
AZ
Go Ahead Eagles
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
69%
平局
19%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
31%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Offensive dominance: AZ recently averaged 2.4 goals per game and recorded a strong 7.4 shots on target
- Away defensive issues: Go Ahead Eagles concede a vulnerable average of 2.23 goals in away matches
- Clear model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a strong 69% home win probability
风险因素
- Weakened squad for the hosts: AZ enters the match with only 63% of their usual starting XI strength due to absences
- Historical draw tendency: 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches between these teams ended in a draw
- Absence for the visitors: Go Ahead Eagles will be without the unlisted Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
概述
AZ hosts Go Ahead Eagles at the AFAS Stadion
Eredivisie match on August 29, 2026, 6:45 PM
Top-of-the-table clash between league leaders AZ with 9 points and second-placed Go Ahead Eagles with 7 points
The home side enters the match as favorites with a calculated home win probability of 69%
近期状态
AZ is in excellent shape leading the standings with the form DDWWW
Go Ahead Eagles holds second place with the form LLWDW
The hosts recently secured 3 consecutive wins
The visitors arrive following a win in their last game
Legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
AZ scores an average of 1.71 goals per game this season and concedes 1.50
Go Ahead Eagles averages 1.59 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match
At home AZ averages 1.70 goals scored and only 1.13 goals conceded
The visitors concede an average of 2.23 goals per game on the road
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches AZ won once while 3 ended in a draw
The last encounter on April 23, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw
The historical goal difference is 7-4 in favor of the home team
关键球员
Mexx Meerdink leads the AZ attack with 5 goals this season
Peer Koopmeiners is a key presence in the hosts' midfield with an average rating of 6.92
Søren Tengstedt is in great form for the visitors with 3 goals in his last matches
Mathis Suray is the top scorer for Go Ahead Eagles with 12 goals this season
门将
Jari De Busser starts in goal for AZ with his team recording 9 clean sheets this season
Kjetil Haug guards the net for the visitors who also have 9 clean sheets to their name
影响因素
Matches at the AFAS Stadion historically average 3.8 goals per game
The home side benefits from a solid defense conceding just 1.13 goals per home match
Go Ahead Eagles averages 1.54 goals in away games