Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen - AZ
09/06/2026, 12:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.1
1.4
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
SC Heerenveen
AZ
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
26%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: AZ averaged 8.4 shots on target in recent matches
- Form advantage: AZ enters on a four-game winning streak while Heerenveen struggles with negative form
- High-scoring expectation: The model estimates a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
- Kees Smit is missing for AZ, leaving only 66% of the usual starting XI goal threat available
- Away defensive weakness: AZ concedes an average of 2.27 goals per game on the road
- Home offensive threat: The model estimates 1.71 expected goals for SC Heerenveen
概述
SC Heerenveen (12th place, 5 points) hosts AZ (2nd place, 12 points) at the Abe Lenstra Stadion
Eredivisie match on September 6, 2026, 2:30 PM
Second-placed AZ travels as favorites to face the 12th-placed hosts
近期状态
Heerenveen shows inconsistent form with a LWDLD record
Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Willem II
AZ enters in excellent shape with a DWWWW run
The visitors won their last match 5-2 against Go Ahead Eagles
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
SC Heerenveen averages 1.69 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game this season
In home games, Heerenveen averages 1.65 goals scored and 1.2 conceded
AZ averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match
Away from home, AZ concedes an average of 2.27 goals while scoring 1.73
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 and AZ won 3
The last meeting ended in a clear 3-0 victory for AZ
A total of 8 goals were scored by Heerenveen and 18 by AZ in these games
关键球员
Jacob Trenskow leads the attack with 13 season goals and 5 assists
Dylan Vente has contributed 8 goals and 3 assists this season
Ringo Meerveld recorded 6 goals and 3 assists in midfield
Mexx Meerdink is an active threat upfront with 5 goals and 1 assist
Weslley Patati scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists so far
Mateo Chávez shines in defense with 1 season goal and 2 assists
门将
Bernt Klaverboer guards Heerenveen's goal, carrying a season average rating of 6.92
Heerenveen has recorded 5 clean sheets so far this season
On the other side, Jari De Busser starts in goal for AZ
AZ has registered a total of 9 clean sheets this term
影响因素
Heerenveen plays at home at the Abe Lenstra Stadion on a grass pitch
The historical record at this stadium averages 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the recent home games
The home record stands at 33 goals scored and 24 conceded across 20 matches