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Eredivisie

Willem II - Excelsior

09/05/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Willem II
1.3
Total xG
3.1
Excelsior
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WIEXC

Willem II

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.51
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.09
全员可用

Excelsior

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.68
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.24
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.24
Noah Naujoks未进大名单 (10球, 1助攻)
Gyan de Regt未进大名单 (3球, 7助攻)
63%进球产出缺失 (仅43%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.53
+1.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

26%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

74%

双方进球

是

61%

否

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model forecasts a 48% probability for an away win for Excelsior
  • Excelsior averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Willem II's 2.7
  • Form gap: Excelsior recorded three wins in their last five matches, while Willem II remain winless this season
风险因素
  • Excelsior concede an average of 1.89 goals per away match
  • Noah Naujoks and Gyan de Regt are missing, leaving only 44% of the usual goal threat available
  • Willem II conceded an average of 3.33 goals per game this season
概述

Willem II host Excelsior at the Koning Willem II Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 5, 2026, 7:00 PM

Willem II sit in 15th place with one point

Excelsior travel as the 8th-placed team with six points

近期状态

Willem II hold a league form of LLD

The home side recorded one draw and two losses in their last three games

Excelsior show a form of DWWLW

The visitors won three of their last five matches with one draw and one defeat

统计数据

Willem II conceded an average of 3.33 goals per match this season

The hosts scored 1.33 goals per game on average

Excelsior scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.65 goals per game

The away team average 1.89 goals conceded in away games

关键球员

Calvin Twigt stands out for Willem II with an average rating of 7.8

Devin Haen scored one goal in three appearances at home

Uriël van Aalst also contributed one goal in three home games

Excelsior rely on Irakli Yegoian with five goals and two assists this season

Casper Widell secures the defense with a rating of 6.9

Lennard Hartjes scored one goal in 21 season appearances

门将

Maxime Delanghe played one home match for Willem II so far

Stijn van Gassel made 32 appearances for Excelsior with a 7.12 rating

Neither team has managed to keep a clean sheet this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II's home games averaged 4.5 goals in their two matches so far

Both home games featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals

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