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Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam - PEC Zwolle

09/04/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Sparta Rotterdam
1.6
Total xG
2.8
PEC Zwolle
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SRPZ

Sparta Rotterdam

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.16
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.16
Ayoni Santos未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.39倍)
-1.60
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
Y. Namli未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.53
+1.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

27%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

73%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Offensive surge: Sparta Rotterdam averages more goals recently (1.8) compared to their season average (1.3)
  • Struggling visitors: PEC Zwolle's attack is currently stalling, averaging only 0.8 goals per match recently
  • Home advantage and predictions: The model estimates a 75% probability for a home win or draw scenario
风险因素
  • Defensive struggles on the road: PEC Zwolle concede an average of 2.78 goals per away match
  • Historical disadvantage: Sparta Rotterdam have failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against PEC Zwolle
概述

Sparta Rotterdam host PEC Zwolle at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Eredivisie match on September 4, 2026, 8:00 PM

A clash between table neighbors: Sparta Rotterdam sit 12th with 4 points, while PEC Zwolle are 13th with 3 points

Both teams aim to distance themselves from the lower half of the table

近期状态

Sparta Rotterdam recorded one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (Form: LLWDL)

They suffered a 1-2 defeat against Excelsior in their last match

PEC Zwolle have a similar record of one win and four losses (Form: LLLWL)

The visitors lost 1-3 to NEC Nijmegen in their previous game

统计数据

Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per game this season

PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 2.09 goals per match

The visitors struggle defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.78 goals per game

Sparta Rotterdam average 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded in home matches

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam have zero wins, with two draws and two wins for PEC Zwolle

The goal difference in these matches is 2-4 in favor of PEC Zwolle

The last meeting on March 8, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

PEC Zwolle are historically the dominant side in this fixture

关键球员

Shunsuke Mito is a key attacker for Sparta Rotterdam with 7 goals and 3 assists in 25 appearances

Milan Zonneveld shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances

Marvin Young stabilizes Sparta Rotterdam's defense and scored twice in the last 5 matches

Koen Kostons leads PEC Zwolle with 11 goals and 6 assists in 34 matches

Thijs Oosting supports the visitors' midfield with 6 goals and 3 assists

Ryan Thomas controls PEC Zwolle's midfield with an average rating of 6.91

门将

Michael Brouwer is in goal for Sparta Rotterdam, who recorded 11 clean sheets this season

Jasper Schendelaar defends PEC Zwolle's goal and has kept 6 clean sheets so far

The visitors' goalkeeper shows rising form with a rating of 6.92 in his recent matches

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam's record on artificial turf stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses

PEC Zwolle have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses on this surface

Venue history shows an average of 3.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate

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