Eredivisie
Ajax - PSV
09/05/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.1
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Ajax
PSV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
27%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Ajax averaged 8.6 shots on target in recent matches, compared to PSV's average of 9.4 shots on target
- PSV is scoring more frequently in recent matches (4.0 goals) compared to their season average (2.9 goals)
- The mathematical model calculates a high BTTS probability of 64% and over 2.5 goals at 60%
风险因素
- PSV is missing key squad depth due to injuries, leaving only 86% of their seasonal goal-scoring threat available
- Restricted data availability regarding goalkeeper statistics for the home team Ajax in the provided dataset
概述
Ajax (4th place, 7 points) host PSV (2nd place, 10 points) at the Johan Cruijff Arena
Eredivisie match on September 5, 2026, 8:00 PM
Top clash in the battle for the league lead
近期状态
Ajax holds a form of DDWWW with 3 consecutive wins in recent games
PSV arrives with a form of WDWWW and also recorded 3 consecutive wins
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Ajax scores avg. 1.81 goals and concedes avg. 1.17 goals per match this season
In home games, Ajax scores avg. 1.84 goals and concedes avg. 0.95 goals
PSV excels offensively with avg. 2.97 goals scored and avg. 1.32 goals conceded
On the road, PSV averages 3.07 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent history
Ajax achieved 2 wins while PSV recorded 0 wins and 2 draws
The goal difference stands at 9:6 in favor of Ajax
The last encounter on May 2, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw
关键球员
Steven Berghuis (4 goals, 2 assists in 21 games, 7.33 rating) shows a rising form trend
Davy Klaassen has 8 goals and 2 assists in 31 matches with rising form
Oscar Gloukh contributed 6 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances
Ivan Perišić excels for PSV with 7 goals, 12 assists in 30 games and rising form
Guus Til boasts 14 goals and 5 assists in 29 appearances
Ricardo Pepi has recorded 16 goals and 1 assist in 26 matches this season
影响因素
The match takes place at the Johan Cruijff Arena on grass
The historic goal average at the stadium stands at 4.8 goals per game
In all of the last 5 matches at this venue, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored
Ajax concedes only 0.95 goals per game on average at home