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Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag - Fortuna Sittard

09/06/2026, 02:45 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
ADO Den Haag
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Fortuna Sittard
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
ADHFS

ADO Den Haag

防守实力 (场均失2.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+1.12
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.31倍)
-0.99
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.58
全员可用

Fortuna Sittard

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.34倍)
-1.73
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均2.4球)
-0.53
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Yassin Oukili替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

32%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

68%

双方进球

是

49%

否

51%

关键因素
  • Form gap: ADO Den Haag remains winless in 4 games (LLLD), while Fortuna Sittard enters with momentum from a recent win
  • Defensive vulnerability: ADO Den Haag has conceded an average of 2.75 goals per game this season
  • Tactical edge: Fortuna Sittard is highly effective on the counter, averaging 4.4 shots on target despite only 32.4% possession
风险因素
  • Limited data availability on ADO Den Haag's current player form
  • Away struggles: Fortuna Sittard concedes an average of 2.27 goals per away match
  • Lack of offensive power: According to squad analysis, ADO Den Haag currently has no significant seasonal goal production available
概述

ADO Den Haag (15th place, 1 point) host Fortuna Sittard (7th place, 7 points) at the WerkTalent Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 6, 2026, 4:45 PM

The hosts are searching for their first win of the season

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 37%

近期状态

ADO Den Haag are winless in four matches with a form of LLLD

Fortuna Sittard enter the game with a form of LDWLW and a win in their last match

The visitors have recorded two wins and one draw so far

统计数据

ADO Den Haag have conceded 11 goals in 4 matches (average 2.75)

Fortuna Sittard have scored 49 goals (average 1.44) and conceded 63 goals in this campaign

The home side has failed to keep a clean sheet this season

关键球员

Kilian Nikièma stands out in goal with an average rating of 8.24 at home

Mohamed Ihattaren leads the visitors with 6 goals and 10 assists this season

Edouard Michut is in rising form with one goal and two assists in recent matches

门将

Kilian Nikièma guards the goal for the hosts and is still searching for his first clean sheet

Mattijs Branderhorst features for Fortuna Sittard with a season rating of 7

Sittard have recorded 3 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the WerkTalent Stadion

ADO Den Haag lost their only home game on this surface 1-4

Fortuna Sittard have a mixed record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses

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