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Eredivisie

Excelsior - FC Utrecht

09/13/2026, 10:15 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Excelsior
1.6
Total xG
3.2
FC Utrecht
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
EXCFU

Excelsior

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.28
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第16位, 相差10位)
+0.08
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.06
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.05
Simon Janssen替补席 (0球, 3助攻)

FC Utrecht

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.91
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2.2球)
-0.69
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第6位, 相差10位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
Yoann Cathline替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.41
+1.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

26%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

74%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Contrasting form: Excelsior (6th place) meet winless FC Utrecht (16th place)
  • Key offensive figures: Irakli Yegoian with 6 goal involvements for the hosts and Artem Stepanov with 4 goals for the visitors
  • Tactical setup: Excelsior recently played counter-oriented with an average of 5.4 shots on target
风险因素
  • Away defensive issues: FC Utrecht concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match
  • Squad impact for the hosts: Simon Janssen is missing from the lineup leaving Excelsior with 82% of regular starting strength
  • Defensive leakage: Utrecht conceded an average of 3.6 goals per game in their last five matches
概述

Excelsior host FC Utrecht at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Eredivisie fixture on September 13, 2026, 12:15 PM

Sixth-placed Excelsior face struggling FC Utrecht currently in 16th position

近期状态

Excelsior are in good form with a WLWWD run from their recent matches

The hosts recently secured a 2-2 draw away at NEC Nijmegen

FC Utrecht are still winless with a form of LLDLD

The visitors recently recorded a high-scoring 3-3 draw against Go Ahead Eagles

统计数据

Excelsior scored an average of 1.26 goals per game this season

FC Utrecht concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match

The hosts have a goal record of 20-22 in 16 home games

Utrecht scored an average of 1.67 goals across 15 away matches

历史交锋

Two direct encounters on record with an even balance of one win each

The last match ended in a decisive 5-0 home victory for Excelsior

A total of 10 goals were scored across these two head-to-head matches

关键球员

Midfielder Irakli Yegoian shines for Excelsior with 2 goals and 4 assists

Attacker David Garden has already scored 3 league goals for the home side

Artem Stepanov stands out for Utrecht with 4 goals in 4 appearances

门将

Stijn van Gassel guards the Excelsior goal with an average season rating of 7.12

Vasilios Barkas is in goal for Utrecht and holds a rating of 6.39

Excelsior registered 6 clean sheets this season while Utrecht recorded 9

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Excelsior hold a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats on artificial turf

Utrecht achieved only 1 win alongside 4 draws and 3 defeats on this surface

The Van Donge & De Roo Stadion historically averages 3.0 goals per game

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