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Eredivisie

SC Cambuur - NEC Nijmegen

09/12/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
SC Cambuur
1.2
Total xG
3.2
NEC Nijmegen
2.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

6%

2:1

6%
xG 分解
SCNN

SC Cambuur

防守实力 (场均失3.6球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+1.93
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-0.77
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.46
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第9位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
全员可用

NEC Nijmegen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-1.25
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.90
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.23
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第18位, 相差9位)
+0.09
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.43
+1.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

24%

客胜

54%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

46%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

76%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Squad Impact: Only 14% of seasonal goal production is available for NEC Nijmegen due to squad limitations
  • Defensive struggles: SC Cambuur has conceded a high average of 3.6 goals per game so far this season
  • Win probability: The mathematical model predicts an away win for NEC Nijmegen with a 54% probability despite squad issues
风险因素
  • Form dip: NEC Nijmegen's goal scoring has slowed down recently to 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 2.2
  • Low offensive threat: NEC Nijmegen averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in their recent games
  • Limited historical head-to-head data available for this fixture
概述

SC Cambuur (18th place, 1 point) faces NEC Nijmegen (9th place, 7 points)

Eredivisie match on September 12, 2026, 9:00 PM

The bottom side hosts the ninth-placed team in a crucial league fixture

近期状态

SC Cambuur is winless in 5 matches with a form of LLLLD

NEC Nijmegen shows a form of LLWLD

Both teams recorded a draw in their most recent fixture

Cambuur has 0 wins and 4 losses while Nijmegen has 1 win and 3 losses in their recent matches

统计数据

SC Cambuur has conceded 18 goals in 5 games with an average of 3.60 per match

At home Cambuur concedes an average of 6.50 goals per match

NEC Nijmegen scored 2.26 goals per game on average this season

The away team conceded 1.56 goals per game on average

关键球员

Rafik El Arguioui scored 4 goals in 5 appearances with a rating of 7.36

Nicolas Binder contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 matches

Tjaronn Chery scored 3 goals in 4 matches with a rating of 7.60

门将

Thijs Jansen played 5 matches for Cambuur without securing a clean sheet

Gonzalo Crettaz made 4 appearances for the visitors with a rating of 6.29

Nijmegen recorded 5 clean sheets over the entire season

影响因素

Cambuur has struggled heavily at home conceding 13 goals in 2 home matches

The model suggests a high-scoring game with a 63% probability for over 2.5 goals

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