Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - Ajax
09/12/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.8
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
28%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Limited offensive power for Fortuna Sittard: Only 22% of their seasonal goal production is available in the squad
- Offensively strong Ajax: The visitors recently averaged 8.4 shots on target per match
- Historical dominance: Ajax won all four of their last head-to-head matches against Fortuna Sittard
风险因素
- Significant squad impact for Ajax: Oscar Gloukh, Davy Klaassen and Youri Regeer are missing, leaving only 58% of starting lineup strength available
- Defensive instability for Fortuna Sittard, conceding an average of 1.85 goals per game this season
- Fortuna Sittard played very counter-oriented in recent matches, averaging just 32% possession
概述
Fortuna Sittard hosts Ajax at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Eredivisie match on September 12, 2026, 8:00 PM
Home team currently in 6th place with 10 points, Ajax in 8th with 7 points
Mathematical prediction calculates a 42% away win probability and 1.26 to 1.54 expected goals
近期状态
Fortuna Sittard holds a DWLWW form in recent matches
The home side recently celebrated two consecutive wins
Ajax enters with a DWWWL form
The visitors lost their last match 1-3 against PSV
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fortuna Sittard scores avg. 1.44 goals and concedes avg. 1.85 this season
Home record stands at avg. 1.47 goals scored and avg. 1.53 conceded
Ajax records avg. 1.81 goals scored and avg. 1.17 conceded
In away matches, Ajax scores avg. 1.76 goals and concedes avg. 1.41
The stadium averages 3.2 goals per game
历史交锋
Ajax dominated all 4 head-to-head matches with 4 wins
The goal difference is a clear 14 to 2 in favor of Ajax
Last meeting on February 14, 2026, ended in a 4-1 away victory
关键球员
Mohamed Ihattaren stands out with a 7.31 rating alongside 3 goals and 2 assists
Lequincio Zeefuik contributed 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Steven Berghuis shines with a 7.33 rating, 4 goals and 2 assists
Youri Baas recorded 4 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.13
门将
Mattijs Branderhorst is in goal for Fortuna Sittard, holding a 7.02 rating
Marc-André ter Stegen defends the goal for Ajax
Fortuna Sittard secured 3 clean sheets this season, whereas Ajax recorded 11 clean sheets
影响因素
The home advantage is visible in Fortuna Sittard's home record of 28 goals scored and 29 conceded
Ajax responds with an away record of 30 goals scored and 24 goals conceded
The match will be played on natural grass at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion