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Eredivisie

PSV - Sparta Rotterdam

09/13/2026, 06:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
PSV
2.2
Total xG
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
1.6
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
PSVSR

PSV

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.49倍)
+1.20
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.73
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.18
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.17
状态上升 (3.4 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.17
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.10
Ruben van Bommel替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Ivan Perišić替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Ricardo Pepi替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

Sparta Rotterdam

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.4倍)
-1.89
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+1.36
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.15
Shunsuke Mito未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Nökkvi Thórisson未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.39
+1.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

23%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

72%

Under 2.5

28%

Over 3.5

52%

Under 3.5

48%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

77%

双方进球

71%

29%

关键因素
  • PSV averaged 8.2 shots on target with 58% possession in recent matches
  • PSV currently score more frequently with 3.4 goals per match recently compared to a 2.8 season average, while Sparta concede 2.19 goals per away game
  • PSV dominated the last 4 head-to-head matches with 4 wins, and the model predicts a 50% home win probability with 2.17 expected home goals
风险因素
  • PSV have only 3 days of rest since their last match, while Sparta Rotterdam had 9 days of preparation
  • Not nominated for PSV are key players Ruben van Bommel (2 goals, 2 assists), Ivan Perišić (2 goals, 1 assist), and Ricardo Pepi (3 goals)
  • Sparta Rotterdam currently score more frequently with 1.8 goals per match recently compared to a 1.3 season average
概述

PSV (2nd place, 13 points) host Sparta Rotterdam (12th place, 5 points) at the Philips Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 13, 2026, 8:00 PM

PSV aim for the top of the table with a home win, while Sparta seek mid-table points

近期状态

PSV are in strong form with a WWWWD record consisting of 4 wins and 1 draw

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Shakhtar Donetsk

Sparta sit at LWDLD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

They recently drew 2-2 against PEC Zwolle

统计数据

PSV average 2.97 goals scored per game this season

Sparta Rotterdam concede an average of 2.19 goals per away game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 29 of PSV's 34 matches

历史交锋

PSV won all of the last 4 head-to-head matches

The goal difference stands at 13-3 in favor of the home side

Their last encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for PSV

关键球员

Sergiño Dest shines for PSV with 2 goals and 2 assists (7.94 rating)

Guus Til adds quality in midfield with 2 goals (7.27 rating)

Mauro Júnior has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist (7.28 rating)

Not nominated are Ruben van Bommel, Ivan Perišić, and Ricardo Pepi

Milan Zonneveld leads Sparta's attack with 3 goals and 1 assist (7.41 rating)

Marvin Young impresses in defense with 2 goals (7.12 rating)

Bas Kuipers has provided 2 assists (6.95 rating)

门将

Matej Kovar guards the PSV goal with a 6.82 season rating

PSV kept 7 clean sheets this season

Michael Brouwer starts for Sparta (6.64 rating) with 11 clean sheets recorded by the team

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Philips Stadion

PSV benefit from a strong home attack with 58 goals in 20 home games

Historical venue matches show a high average of 5.0 goals per game

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