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Eredivisie

FC Twente - ADO Den Haag

09/12/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
FC Twente
2.1
Total xG
3.3
ADO Den Haag
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FTADH

FC Twente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.77
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.48
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.41
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第17位, 相差12位)
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
主场表现强势 (场均2.7球 vs 总体2球)
全员可用

ADO Den Haag

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.15倍)
-2.11
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+1.21
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第5位, 相差12位)
-0.17
Nigel Thomas替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
34%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.3球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.48
+1.48
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

23%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

77%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Offensive dominance: FC Twente averaged 7.6 shots on target per match with 61% possession in recent games
  • Mathematical edge: The prediction model calculates a home win probability of 56%
  • Defensive vulnerability: ADO Den Haag concede a high average of 2.8 goals per match
风险因素
  • Physical fatigue: FC Twente have a short recovery window with only 3 days since their last match
  • Twente squad impact: Only 15% of the usual seasonal goal production is currently available
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head records
概述

FC Twente (5th place, 10 points) host ADO Den Haag (17th place, 1 point)

Eredivisie match on September 12, 2026, 4:30 PM at De Grolsch Veste

A clear clash between the upper third of the table and the relegation zone

近期状态

FC Twente look stable with a form of LWWDW

They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their recent games

ADO Den Haag are struggling with a form of LLLDL

The visitors have recorded 4 losses and 1 draw

统计数据

FC Twente score an average of 1.74 goals per game while conceding 1.18

ADO Den Haag concede a highly vulnerable average of 2.8 goals per game

The visitors concede 2.33 goals on average in away matches

Twente remain defensively solid at home with only 0.94 goals conceded per game

关键球员

Wout Weghorst is a key threat upfront with 2 goals and a 7.25 rating

Younes Taha impresses with 1 goal and 2 assists, holding a 7.54 rating

Sondre Ørjasæter contributes 1 goal and 1 assist to the attack

Yannick Eduardo is the visitors' top scorer with 2 goals this season

Evan Rottier has recorded 1 goal and 2 assists with a 6.97 rating

Juho Kilo stabilizes the midfield with a 7.09 rating and 1 assist

门将

Lars Unnerstall is in goal for Twente with a season rating of 6.64

Kilian Nikièma guards the net for Den Haag with a strong 7.21 rating

Twente have already secured 8 clean sheets this season

The visitors from Den Haag are still waiting for their first clean sheet

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at De Grolsch Veste

Twente score an average of 1.71 goals per game in their home stadium

The venue averages 3.0 goals per game overall

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