Eredivisie
AZ - Willem II
09/11/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.9
1.8
2:1
8%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
AZ
Willem II
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
22%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
55%
Under 3.5
45%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
74%
否
26%
关键因素
- Visitor weakness: According to the dataset, 0% of the usual goal production is available for Willem II
- Tactical dominance: AZ averaged 8.0 shots on target in recent matches, while Willem II managed only 2.5
- Form gap: Perfect league leaders AZ (5 wins) face winless Willem II, who concede an average of 3.25 goals per game
风险因素
- Away weakness: Willem II conceded an average of 4.0 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- Data quality: Limited data available for Willem II's player form
概述
AZ host Willem II at the AFAS Stadion
Eredivisie match on September 11, 2026, 8:00 PM
A clash between the undefeated league leaders and the 17th-placed team
AZ started perfectly with 15 points from 5 matches
Willem II sits near the bottom of the table with only 1 point
近期状态
AZ is in outstanding form having won all 5 matches so far (WWWWW)
Willem II is still waiting for their first win of the season, taking only 1 point from 4 games (LLDL)
Most recently, Willem II lost 0-3 against Excelsior
AZ celebrated a close 3-2 victory over SC Heerenveen
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
AZ scores an average of 1.71 goals per game this season
Willem II has already conceded 13 goals in 4 matches
The visitors concede an average of 3.25 goals per game
AZ is defensively stable at home, conceding only 1.13 goals per match
历史交锋
In the historical record, there have been 2 head-to-head matches between them
Both teams have won one match each
The overall goal difference is 3-2 in favor of AZ
The last encounter on February 2, 2025, ended in a 2-0 win for AZ
关键球员
Ro-Zangelo Daal shines for AZ with 4 season goals and a rating of 7.69
Peer Koopmeiners pulls the strings in midfield with a rating of 7.61 and one goal
Mateo Chávez impresses defensively and offensively with one goal and 3 assists
门将
Jari De Busser guards the goal for AZ, holding an average rating of 6.58
AZ has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Willem II lines up with Maxime Delanghe in goal and has not kept a clean sheet yet
影响因素
The game will be played on natural grass at the AFAS Stadion
The venue history shows high-scoring matches with an average of 4.6 goals per game
The probability for over 2.5 goals is calculated at 75% by the model
AZ boasts a strong home record with 1.70 goals scored per home game