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Eredivisie

SC Heerenveen - Telstar

09/13/2026, 12:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
SC Heerenveen
1.6
Total xG
3.3
Telstar
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
SHTEL

SC Heerenveen

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.09
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.08
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
全员可用

Telstar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.44倍)
-1.59
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+1.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.41
+1.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

26%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

74%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Only 12% of the goal threat is currently active and available for SC Heerenveen
  • Heerenveen averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, while Telstar averaged only 2.4 shots on target
  • SC Heerenveen dominated the historical matchups with two victories out of two games
风险因素
  • Telstar concede an average of 2.25 goals per away match this season
  • Telstar's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4
  • SC Heerenveen's recent goal average has dropped to 1.4 goals per match
概述

SC Heerenveen host Telstar at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 13, 2026, 2:30 PM

A clash between table neighbors in 12th and 14th place

The mathematical model predicts a close match with a 40% probability of an away win

近期状态

SC Heerenveen showing form WDLDL with a recent 2-3 loss against AZ

Home team summary: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

Telstar showing form WLLDL and a 0-1 defeat against FC Twente in their last match

Away team summary: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

SC Heerenveen average 1.69 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match

At home, the hosts score 1.65 goals and concede 1.2 on average

Telstar average 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game

In away games, Telstar concede an average of 2.25 goals while scoring 1.5

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in historical records

2 wins for SC Heerenveen and 0 wins for Telstar

Goal difference of 6-2 in favor of the home side

Last direct encounter ended in a 3-0 home win for SC Heerenveen on March 14, 2026

关键球员

Jacob Trenskow impresses with 2 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.26

Dylan Vente contributed 2 assists so far this season with a rating of 6.95

Sam Kersten stabilizes with 1 assist and a rating of 6.91

Ronald Koeman Jr. shines in the opposing lineup with an average rating of 7.2

Patrick Brouwer recorded 1 goal and 1 assist this season with a rating of 6.95

Abdelnour Soualhia provides defensive impact with 1 goal and 1 assist

门将

Bernt Klaverboer completed 5 appearances with an average rating of 6.81

Ronald Koeman Jr. featured in 5 matches and recorded an average rating of 7.2

The statistical comparison shows a performance edge for the visiting goalkeeper

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Abe Lenstra Stadion

The stadium sees an average of 2.2 goals per game

Home advantage is visible with 1.65 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded on average

The visitors concede an average of 2.25 goals when playing away from home

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