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Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles

09/20/2026, 02:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
NEC Nijmegen
1.9
Total xG
3.6
Go Ahead Eagles
1.7
最可能的比分

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
NNGAE

NEC Nijmegen

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.52
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.26
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.03
Adam Tahaui替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Go Ahead Eagles

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-1.24
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.83
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均2.2球)
-0.37
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.16
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.37
+1.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

24%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

76%

双方进球

71%

29%

关键因素
  • Struggling offense: NEC Nijmegen recently averaged only 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 2.1
  • Tactical shooting advantage: The visitors averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to only 2.6 for Nijmegen
  • Severely depleted away threat: Only 28% of Go Ahead Eagles' usual goalscoring share is currently active in the squad
风险因素
  • Short recovery period: NEC Nijmegen has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Low attacking output: Nijmegen averaged only 2.6 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Leaky away defense: Go Ahead Eagles concede an average of 2.23 goals per game on the road
概述

NEC Nijmegen host Go Ahead Eagles at the Goffertstadion

Eredivisie match on September 20, 2026, 4:45 PM

Mid-table battle between 11th and 10th place

近期状态

NEC Nijmegen show weak form with WLDLL

The hosts managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last games

Go Ahead Eagles present a more stable run with form DWLDD

The visitors recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss recently

Form code meanings: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.26 goals per game this season

The hosts conceded 1.56 goals on average

Go Ahead Eagles average 1.59 goals scored per game

The visitors conceded an average of 2.23 goals in away matches

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Go Ahead Eagles lead the historic record with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 win for Nijmegen

The goal difference stands at 5:10 from the hosts' perspective

The last direct meeting ended in a 2:1 victory for NEC Nijmegen

关键球员

Not selected for the hosts: Adam Tahaui (2 goals, 0 assists)

Tjaronn Chery shines with 3 goals and 1 assist for the hosts

Darko Nejasmic contributed 1 goal with a rating of 7.2

Noé Lebreton also scored 1 goal this season

Søren Tengstedt is the top scorer for the visitors with 5 goals and 2 assists

Victor Edvardsen impresses with 3 goals and 2 assists

Mathis Suray recorded 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Nikolas Polster guards the goal for Nijmegen with an average rating of 6.38

Kjetil Haug is between the posts for the visitors with a rating of 6.29

The hosts recorded 5 clean sheets so far this season

The visitors kept 9 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Goffertstadion

Stadium history shows a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in all of the last 5 home games at this venue

The model calculates a high probability of 71% for both teams to score

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