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Eredivisie

Feyenoord - FC Utrecht

09/20/2026, 10:15 AM

5 : 0
预期进球
Feyenoord
2.1
Total xG
3.5
FC Utrecht
1.4
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
FEYFU

Feyenoord

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.44
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.44
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.21
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.11
主场表现强势 (场均2.6球 vs 总体2.1球)
全员可用

FC Utrecht

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.94
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.10
Yoann Cathline替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.35
+1.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

23%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

77%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • Feyenoord has been highly offensive in recent matches, averaging 7.6 shots on target
  • Squad impact: Feyenoord only has 26% of their usual goal-scoring threat available due to squad changes
  • Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a home win probability of 51% and 2.08 expected home goals
风险因素
  • FC Utrecht concede an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • High vulnerability on both sides with a calculated BTTS probability of 68%
概述

Feyenoord host FC Utrecht at Stadion Feijenoord

Eredivisie match on September 20, 2026, 12:15 PM

Feyenoord sit in 3rd place with 14 points

FC Utrecht occupy 14th place with 5 points

The home team enters as clear favorites

近期状态

Feyenoord show stable form with WDWLW

Recently they secured a clear 7-0 win against PEC Zwolle

The visitors Utrecht exhibit a form of LDLDW

Utrecht won their latest match against Excelsior by 2-1

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Feyenoord scored an average of 2.06 goals per game this season

In home games their scoring average is 2.05 goals

FC Utrecht score an average of 1.64 goals per match

Away from home Utrecht concede an average of 2.0 goals

Feyenoord kept 10 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total

Feyenoord celebrated 3 wins while FC Utrecht recorded 1 win

The last direct encounter ended 1-0 in favor of the away team Feyenoord

In these matchups, Feyenoord scored 7 goals and Utrecht scored 4 goals

关键球员

Gjivai Zechiël scored 5 goals and provided 3 assists this season

Anis Hadj Moussa recorded 3 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.81

Luciano Valente contributed 3 goals and 1 assist so far

Artem Stepanov scored 5 goals this season with a rating of 7.12

Adrian Blake recorded 2 goals this season

Davy van den Berg stood out with 2 assists this term

Not nominated: Yoann Cathline (0 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Tjark Ernst is in goal for Feyenoord with an average rating of 6.77

Feyenoord have achieved 10 clean sheets this season

On the opposing side Vasilios Barkas plays for FC Utrecht with a rating of 6.46

Utrecht kept 9 clean sheets in this campaign so far

影响因素

Stadion Feijenoord features a natural grass pitch

The historical goal rate at the stadium stands at an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played in this stadium so far

The historical Over 2.5 rate at Stadion Feijenoord is 60%

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