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Eredivisie

Willem II - Fortuna Sittard

09/19/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Willem II
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Fortuna Sittard
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
WIFS

Willem II

排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第8位, 相差9位)
-0.14
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

Fortuna Sittard

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.31倍)
-1.52
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.84
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.14
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.14
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第17位, 相差9位)
+0.07
Lequincio Zeefuik替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.39
+1.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

27%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Fortuna Sittard (8th place, 10 points) enter the match in better form than second-to-last Willem II (17th place, 2 points) who are still winless
  • The hosts' severe defensive weakness, conceding an average of 3.17 goals per game this season, offers the visitors plenty of opportunities
  • Fortuna Sittard recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match with a counter-oriented possession of 35%
风险因素
  • Fortuna Sittard concede a high average of 2.27 goals per away game
  • Willem II recently averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match
  • The hosts have to cope without 6 injured players, including J. Hoogma and K. Boogaard
概述

Willem II host Fortuna Sittard at the Koning Willem II Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 19, 2026, 8:00 PM

Willem II are in 17th place with 2 points

Fortuna Sittard occupy 8th place with 10 points

The hosts are searching for their first win of the season

近期状态

Willem II are in poor form: LDLDL

In 6 games they recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses

Fortuna Sittard are more stable: WLWWL

The visitors recorded 3 wins and 2 losses recently

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Willem II score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 3.17 goals

In 6 matches, the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet

Fortuna Sittard average 1.44 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 2.27 goals

Willem II's home games have averaged 4.00 goals this season

历史交锋

There have been 2 direct encounters in recent seasons

Willem II are winless with 1 draw and 1 defeat

The goal difference stands at 0:1 against the hosts

The last meeting ended 1-0 in favor of Fortuna Sittard on April 27, 2025

关键球员

Devin Haen leads his team with 3 goals this season

Uriël van Aalst has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists

Nathan Tjoe-A-On has already provided 2 assists this season

Mohamed Ihattaren shines with 3 goals and 2 assists

Edouard Michut has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists so far

Anthony Descotte currently has 2 goals from 6 appearances

门将

Maxime Delanghe has played 3 games and is waiting for his first clean sheet

Mattijs Branderhorst has made 6 appearances with a rating of 7.04

The visiting keeper has already kept 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Matches at the Koning Willem II Stadion have averaged 4.00 goals per game

On the grass pitch, all 3 of the hosts' home games ended with over 2.5 goals

Willem II concede an average of 3.00 goals per home match

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