Eredivisie
FC Twente - PSV
09/20/2026, 12:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.7
1.8
2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%3:1
5%1:3
5%xG 分解
FC Twente
PSV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
24%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- PSV squad crisis: Only 21% of season's goal scoring threat is available for this match
- Offensive dominance: FC Twente recently averaged 9.0 shots on target with 61% possession
- Rising trend: FC Twente is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than its season average (2.0)
风险因素
- Historical dominance: PSV clearly dominated the last 4 direct meetings with a 16-3 goal ratio
- Away defensive risk: PSV concedes an average of 1.36 goals in away matches
- Limited data on duel statistics for the last 5 matches
概述
FC Twente (5th place, 13 points) host league leaders PSV (1st place, 16 points) at De Grolsch Veste
Eredivisie match on September 20, 2026, 2:30 PM
A top-tier clash in the battle for the top spot
近期状态
FC Twente is in strong form with the sequence WWDWW
The hosts recently secured 4 wins and 1 draw
PSV arrives undefeated with the form WWWDW
The visitors also recorded 4 wins and 1 draw recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Twente scores an average of 1.74 goals per game this season and concedes 1.18 goals
At home, the hosts' defense remains solid, conceding only 0.94 goals on average
PSV shines offensively with an average of 2.97 goals per game over the season
In away games, PSV increases its output to an average of 3.07 goals
The model calculates a very high probability for over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
PSV dominates the head-to-head matches with 4 wins in 4 games
The last direct meeting ended in a 5-1 win for PSV on May 17, 2026
The goal difference in these matches stands at 16-3 in favor of the visitors
关键球员
Wout Weghorst scored 3 season goals and hit the net four times in the last 5 games
Younes Taha has 1 goal and 2 assists with an average season rating of 7.43
Daouda Weidmann impresses in midfield with a strong season rating of 7.6
Sergiño Dest recorded 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.82
Ivan Perišić contributed 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.66
Ricardo Pepi remains a constant threat in attack with 3 goals this season
Not nominated: Marko Pjaca
门将
Lars Unnerstall appeared in 5 matches and has already kept 8 clean sheets this season
Matej Kovar played 6 games and recorded 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Home advantage for FC Twente at De Grolsch Veste on grass
FC Twente scores an average of 1.71 goals at home and concedes only 0.94 goals
Historical matches at this venue average 2.8 goals per game