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Eredivisie

AZ - Telstar

09/20/2026, 12:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
AZ
2.1
Total xG
3.5
Telstar
1.4
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
AZTEL

AZ

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.24倍)
+0.66
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.31
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.28
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
Kees Smit替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.5球 vs 总体2球)

Telstar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-1.75
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+1.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.25
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.15
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.35
+1.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

23%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

46%

Under 3.5

54%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

77%

双方进球

67%

33%

关键因素
  • AZ averaged 6.8 shots on target with 60.2% ball possession in recent matches
  • Telstar averaged only 2.2 shots on target with 40.6% ball possession in recent matches
  • The predictive model calculates a 54% probability for a home win with 2.15 expected goals for AZ
风险因素
  • Telstar recently averaged only 2.2 shots on target per game
  • Telstar concedes a high average of 2.25 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

AZ in position 2 with 16 points host Telstar in position 12 with 5 points at the AFAS Stadion

Eredivisie match on September 20 2026 at 2:30 PM

AZ aim to keep the pressure on league leaders PSV

近期状态

AZ form: WWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recently 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss for the hosts

Telstar form: LLDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors are without a win, recording 2 draws and 3 losses

AZ currently scores more frequently with 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 2.0

Telstar's goal production is stalling at 0.75 goals compared to their average of 1.42

统计数据

AZ averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per game this season

At home, AZ averages 1.70 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded

Telstar records an average of 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded

On the road, Telstar concedes a high average of 2.25 goals per match

The historical goal average at this stadium is 4.2 goals per game

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

2 wins for AZ and 0 wins for Telstar

Goal difference of 3 to 1 for the hosts

The last meeting on January 25 2026 ended in a 1-0 win for AZ

关键球员

Ro-Zangelo Daal scored 4 goals in 6 matches with a rating of 7.85

Mexx Meerdink has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 matches this season

Peer Koopmeiners impresses in midfield with 1 goal in 6 games and a 7.70 rating

Ronald Koeman Jr. holds a rating of 7.39 after 6 appearances

Abdelnour Soualhia contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 matches

Patrick Brouwer has recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 appearances

门将

Jari De Busser is in goal for AZ, with the team recording 9 clean sheets

Ronald Koeman Jr. guards the net for Telstar, who have recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage for AZ with an average of 1.70 home goals scored and only 1.13 conceded

Telstar shows significant defensive struggles away from home, conceding 2.25 goals on average

The match will be played on natural grass at the AFAS Stadion

The historical goal average at this venue stands at a high 4.2 goals per match

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