Eredivisie
Ajax - Excelsior
09/19/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.4
1.7
1:1
11%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
Ajax
Excelsior
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
25%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Ajax averaged 10.6 shots on target in recent matches
- High scoring venue: The last 5 matches at the Johan Cruijff Arena produced an average of 5.2 goals
- Both teams are calculated to score with a 68% probability according to the model
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Excelsior concedes an average of 1.89 goals per away match
- Historical hurdle: Ajax failed to win either of the last 2 head-to-head matches against Excelsior
概述
Ajax (4th place, 13 points) hosts Excelsior (7th place, 10 points) at the Johan Cruijff Arena
Eredivisie match on September 19, 2026, 8:00 PM
Ajax aims to close the gap to the top of the table
近期状态
Ajax form: WWLWW
Excelsior form: LWWDL
Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Ajax is in strong form with two consecutive wins
Excelsior suffered a defeat against FC Utrecht in their last match
统计数据
Ajax averages 1.81 goals scored per match this season
Excelsior concedes an average of 1.89 goals in away matches
Ajax is strong at home with 1.84 goals scored per game
Both teams scored in 24 out of 36 matches for Ajax
历史交锋
2 head-to-head matches in the database
1 win for Excelsior and 1 draw
Last match ended in a 2-2 draw on February 1, 2026
Excelsior has historically performed well in recent direct encounters
关键球员
Kasper Dolberg has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
Oscar Gloukh stands out with 1 goal and 3 assists
Irakli Yegoian has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists for Excelsior
Not in squad for the home side: Steven Berghuis and Tolu Arokodare
门将
Marc-André ter Stegen started 5 matches in goal for Ajax
Stijn van Gassel has played 6 games this season for Excelsior
Ajax kept 11 clean sheets overall this season
Excelsior secured 6 clean sheets during this campaign
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Johan Cruijff Arena
An average of 5.2 goals were scored in the last 5 matches at this venue
All of these 5 matches ended with both teams scoring