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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - PEC Zwolle

09/18/2026, 06:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
FC Groningen
1.7
Total xG
3.2
PEC Zwolle
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
FGPZ

FC Groningen

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.11
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第16位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Tygo Land替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

PEC Zwolle

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.39倍)
-1.58
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.91
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.44
+1.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

26%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Severe quality loss: Only 14% of the seasonal goal threat is currently available for PEC Zwolle
  • Offensive dominance: FC Groningen recently averaged 5.2 shots on target per match
  • Vulnerable defense: PEC Zwolle concedes an extremely high average of 2.78 goals per away match
风险因素
  • Historical head-to-head record: FC Groningen has failed to win any of the last 4 encounters against PEC Zwolle
  • Shaky defense: Groningen recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match
  • Injury concerns: A total of 8 players are unavailable in the squad of FC Groningen
概述

FC Groningen hosts PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie

Match at Euroborg on September 18, 2026, 8:00 PM

Groningen is in 9th place with 8 points, while Zwolle sits 16th with 4 points

The mathematical model calculates a 42% probability for a home win

近期状态

FC Groningen's current form is WLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Their last 5 matches resulted in 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

PEC Zwolle travels with a form of LWLDL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches

统计数据

FC Groningen scored 1.4 goals per game this season and conceded 1.34

PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.29 goals but conceded 2.09 per match

Zwolle shows extreme defensive issues away from home, conceding 2.78 goals on average

The mathematical model expects 1.70 goals for the home team and 1.45 for the visitors

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head encounters, Groningen recorded 0 wins, Zwolle has 1 win, and 3 matches ended in a draw

The overall goal record is 3 to 5 against Groningen

Their last meeting on March 13, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Thom van Bergen scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in 6 appearances with a rating of 7.47

Brynjólfur Willumsson has scored 4 goals in 6 games this season with a rating of 7.18

David van der Werff contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 matches with a rating of 7.38

Koen Kostons registered 3 goals in 6 games with a rating of 6.67

Dylan Mbayo provided 3 assists in 6 appearances with a rating of 6.96

Ibrahim Cissoko scored 1 goal in 6 matches with a rating of 6.69

门将

Etienne Vaessen played 6 matches, provided 1 assist, and holds a rating of 7.21 with 6 clean sheets

Jasper Schendelaar also completed 6 matches and holds a rating of 7.05 with 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Euroborg

FC Groningen had 6 days of rest since their last match, while PEC Zwolle had 5 days off

The venue history shows a high average of 4.0 goals per match

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