Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart
08/28/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
2.7
4.1
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
8%2:2
6%3:0
5%3:2
5%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
19%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
77%
Under 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
58%
Under 3.5
42%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
71%
否
29%
关键因素
- High home win probability of 64% according to the model, with 2.68 expected goals for Bayern
- Impressive historical dominance for Bayern with 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-head matches and a 19:3 goal record
- Bayern's immense tactical dominance with an average of 67% possession and 7.2 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Stuttgart is weakened by the absence of key players like Jamie Leweling and Chris Führich, leaving only 69% of goal threat available
- Bayern's defense has been vulnerable, conceding 2.0 goals on average recently compared to their season average of 1.17
- Stuttgart's goalkeeper Fabian Bredlow starts without any match practice this season
概述
FC Bayern München hosts VfB Stuttgart at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on August 28, 2026, 8:30 PM
Both teams are starting at 0 points, with Bayern in 7th place and Stuttgart in 14th
An early season clash with historic rivalry
近期状态
FC Bayern is in LDDWW form with two consecutive wins recently
VfB Stuttgart shows LDDWD form with only one win in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Bayern recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
统计数据
Bayern averaged 3.59 goals scored per game across the season
Stuttgart averaged 2.09 goals scored per game
Advanced stats show Bayern's recent scoring of 2.8 goals is below their season average of 3.44
历史交锋
Bayern completely dominates the head-to-head record
Five wins in the last five meetings with 19 goals scored and 3 conceded
The most recent duel ended in a clear 3-0 victory for FC Bayern
关键球员
Harry Kane leads Bayern's attack with 36 goals this season
Michael Olise contributed 15 goals and 19 assists
Deniz Undav is Stuttgart's top threat with 19 goals and 7 assists
门将
Manuel Neuer starts in goal for Bayern with 12 clean sheets this season
Fabian Bredlow starts for Stuttgart but has 0 appearances in the dataset
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Allianz Arena
The venue history shows an extremely high average of 5.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed matches at this stadium