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Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach

08/29/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
RB Leipzig
2.0
Total xG
3.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RLBM

RB Leipzig

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.5倍)
-4.14
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均5球)
-3.58
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第12位, 相差9位)
+0.09
Christoph Baumgartner未进大名单 (13球, 9助攻)
Yan Diomande未进大名单 (12球, 8助攻)
Rômulo未进大名单 (9球, 5助攻)
Assan Ouédraogo未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Xaver Schlager未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Max Finkgräfe替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅44%可用)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
主场表现强势 (场均2.5球 vs 总体2球)

Borussia Mönchengladbach

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.83
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
+0.70
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第3位, 相差9位)
-0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Haris Tabakovic未进大名单 (13球, 2助攻)
Franck Honorat替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Joe Scally替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Yannik Engelhardt未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Rocco Reitz未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Nico Elvedi未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅37%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均6球)
+3.50
+3.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

24%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

76%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Only 45% of the usual goal threat available for RB Leipzig, with Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Rômulo, Assan Ouédraogo, Xaver Schlager, and Max Finkgräfe missing
  • Only 37% of the usual goal threat available for Gladbach, with Haris Tabakovic, Franck Honorat, Joe Scally, Yannik Engelhardt, Rocco Reitz, and Nico Elvedi missing
  • The mathematical prediction calculates a 52% home win probability for RB Leipzig with 2.04 expected home goals
风险因素
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away match
  • RB Leipzig concedes an average of 2.20 goals in recent matches, showing more defensive vulnerability than their season average of 1.38
概述

RB Leipzig host Borussia Mönchengladbach at the Red Bull Arena

Bundesliga season opener on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams start the campaign level on points in 5th and 7th place

An evenly matched duel on the opening matchday

近期状态

RB Leipzig with the form WWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 3 wins and 2 losses recently

Borussia Mönchengladbach travel with the form DDWLW

The visitors recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently

统计数据

RB Leipzig averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded over the season

In home games, Leipzig scored an average of 1.90 goals while conceding only 0.95

Mönchengladbach averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 18 out of 34 Gladbach season matches

历史交锋

Even historical record with 1 win for each team and 2 draws from 4 head-to-head matches

The last encounter on April 11, 2026, ended in a 1-0 home win for RB Leipzig

Goal difference is also completely balanced at 1-1 in total goals

关键球员

David Raum stabilizes the defense with a strong season rating of 7.44 and contributed 7 assists

Antonio Nusa enlivens the attack with 4 season goals and 4 assists

Willi Orbán brings stability with an average rating of 7.19

Kevin Diks is the visitors' most dangerous defender with 5 season goals

Kevin Stöger guides Gladbach's midfield with an average rating of 6.77

Goalkeeper Moritz Nicolas started all 34 season matches and holds a strong rating of 7.14

门将

Maarten Vandevoordt played in 12 season matches for Leipzig, registering a rating of 6.8

Moritz Nicolas guarded Gladbach's goal in all 34 matches, securing 13 clean sheets with a strong average rating of 7.14

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Red Bull Arena

Stadium statistics show a high-scoring average of 2.8 goals per match

Leipzig averaged a strong 1.90 goals scored per game on home turf

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