Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - Paderborn
08/29/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.9
1.5
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
7%1:2
5%3:2
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
21%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5
25%
Over 3.5
56%
Under 3.5
45%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 57% home win probability and expects 2.44 goals for Mainz
- Tactical offensive strength: Mainz averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
- Rising form trend: Advanced statistics show Mainz is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) compared to their season average (1.4 goals)
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Mainz concedes an average of 1.56 goals per home match
- Missing key player: Paul Nebel is ruled out due to injury
- Limited data available for Paderborn in the provided dataset
概述
FSV Mainz 05 hosts Paderborn at the Mewa Arena
Bundesliga match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM
Mainz currently sits in 8th place, while Paderborn is in 10th place
The home side enters as the favorite with a 57% win probability according to the model
近期状态
Mainz shows a mixed form with the record DLWLW
The home side has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Their most recent match ended in a win for Mainz
No form data is available for Paderborn in the current dataset
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Mainz scored an average of 1.29 goals per game and conceded 1.56 last season
In home matches, they averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.56 conceded
Advanced statistics indicate that Mainz is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) compared to their season average (1.4)
No season statistics are available for Paderborn
关键球员
Nadiem Amiri leads the team with 12 season goals, 2 assists, and an average rating of 7.41
Phillip Tietz recorded 5 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.85
Sheraldo Becker contributed 3 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.94
门将
Robin Zentner guards the goal for Mainz, holding an average rating of 6.81
Mainz recorded 4 clean sheets throughout the entire last season
Nahuel Noll starts in goal for Paderborn, with no detailed performance data available
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Mewa Arena
Stadium statistics from the last 5 games show a high average of 3.6 goals per game
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of these matches
Both teams scored in 40% of the games