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Bundesliga

FC Köln - TSG Hoffenheim

08/29/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
FC Köln
1.5
Total xG
3.3
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
FKTH

FC Köln

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.37倍)
-4.44
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均5球)
-3.15
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Jakub Kamiński未进大名单 (7球, 3助攻)
Marius Bülter替补席 (5球, 4助攻)
Eric Martel未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Kristoffer Lund未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

TSG Hoffenheim

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
+0.99
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.58
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.08
Andrej Kramaric替补席 (14球, 6助攻)
Fisnik Asllani未进大名单 (10球, 8助攻)
Bazoumana Touré未进大名单 (5球, 9助攻)
Tim Lemperle未进大名单 (8球, 2助攻)
78%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均6球)
+3.50
+3.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

25%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

75%

双方进球

67%

33%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 30% of Hoffenheim's usual attacking threat is available as Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani, Bazoumana Touré and Tim Lemperle are missing
  • Historical stadium statistics show an extremely high-scoring environment with 4.0 average goals and 100% BTTS rate
  • TSG Hoffenheim recently dominated possession with 56% and averaged 5.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • FC Köln concedes an average of 1.85 goals per game and shows a negative form trend
  • TSG Hoffenheim struggles defensively on the road with an average of 1.94 goals conceded
  • FC Köln is missing key starters like Jakub Kamiński, Marius Bülter, Eric Martel and Kristoffer Lund
概述

FC Köln hosts TSG Hoffenheim at the RheinEnergieStadion

Bundesliga match on August 29, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams enter the match without points after the season start

The model predicts a close game with a slight advantage for the visitors

近期状态

FC Köln shows a weak form: DLDLL

0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their recent matches

TSG Hoffenheim is in better shape: WWDWL

3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss for the visitors

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Köln scores an average of 1.44 goals and concedes 1.85 goals

TSG Hoffenheim averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

Köln's home goals average is at 1.43 per game

Hoffenheim travels with a strong away offense of 1.88 goals per match

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in recent history

1 win for FC Köln and 1 draw

Goal difference of 3:2 in favor of Köln

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

Said El Mala is Köln's top scorer with 13 goals and 5 assists

Ragnar Ache adds attacking threat with 7 goals this season

Wouter Burger stabilizes Hoffenheim's midfield with 4 goals and 6 assists

Vladimír Coufal has already provided 8 assists

Not starting for Köln: Jakub Kamiński, Marius Bülter, Eric Martel, Kristoffer Lund

门将

Marvin Schwäbe played 34 matches for Köln and kept 3 clean sheets

Oliver Baumann completed 34 games for Hoffenheim with 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the RheinEnergieStadion

Historically, the stadium averages 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed home matches

All of these games ended with over 2.5 goals

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