Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV
08/29/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.1
0.8
2:0
12%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
7%xG 分解
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
70%
平局
20%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
30%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Only 39% of usual starting threat available for Hamburger SV, with Fábio Vieira, Ransford Königsdörffer, and Robert Glatzel missing
- Borussia Dortmund averaged 5.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Strong mathematical support with a 70% probability for a Borussia Dortmund home win
风险因素
- Borussia Dortmund starts without key players Julian Brandt, Nico Schlotterbeck, and Marcel Sabitzer
- Hamburger SV concedes a severe average of 2.46 goals per away match
概述
Borussia Dortmund hosts Hamburger SV at the Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga match on August 29, 2026, 6:30 PM
Dortmund starts at 9th place while Hamburg sits at 7th position
An important early-season clash in front of a passionate crowd
近期状态
Dortmund shows a form of LWLWW with three wins in their last five games
Hamburg enters with a form of LLWWD after recording two wins and one draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Dortmund recently won 2-0 against Bremen, while Hamburg drew 1-1 against Leverkusen
统计数据
Dortmund averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per match in the season
At home, the Black and Yellows are formidable with 2.11 goals scored per game
Hamburg struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 2.46 goals per away match
The visitors failed to score in 10 matches during the season
历史交锋
In the last two head-to-head matches, Dortmund recorded one home win and one draw
The last meeting ended 3-2 for Dortmund on March 21, 2026
The overall goal tally stands at 4-3 in favor of Dortmund
关键球员
Serhou Guirassy leads Dortmund's attack with 17 goals this season
Julian Ryerson provides great threat from defense with 16 assists
For the visitors, Albert Grønbæk shines in midfield with one goal and two assists in his last three games
门将
Gregor Kobel played 34 matches for BVB, keeping 15 clean sheets
Daniel Heuer Fernandes featured in 33 games for Hamburg, securing 6 clean sheets
影响因素
Dortmund relies on a strong home advantage at the Signal Iduna Park, averaging 2.11 goals scored
The match is played on natural grass surface
The mathematical model expects 2.31 goals for Dortmund and 0.82 goals for Hamburg