比赛报告 →
FC Union Berlin – Eintracht Frankfurt3 : 3
模型为何这样判断
FC Union Berlin
1.67
总 xG
2.80
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.13
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | FC Union Berlin | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.33倍) | −4.46 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均6球) | +3.50 | +3.50 |
| 防守实力 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1球) | +1.15 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球) | +0.25 | |
| 状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均) | +0.25 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | −0.11 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均) | −0.11 | |
| Andrej Ilic未进大名单 (5球, 10助攻) | ||
| Oliver Burke未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻) | ||
| Ilyas Ansah未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻) | ||
| Danilho Doekhi未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻) | ||
| Christopher Trimmel替补席 (0球, 3助攻) | ||
| 46%进球产出缺失 (仅43%可用) | ||
| Nathaniel Brown未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻) | ||
| Arnaud Kalimuendo未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻) | ||
| Hugo Larsson未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻) | ||
| Oscar Højlund替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 11%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.8球) |
关键因素
- Weakened home squad: Only 43% of the regular starting threat available, as Andrej Ilic, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah, Danilho Doekhi, and Christopher Trimmel are missing
- Attacking intent: Both teams averaged a strong 5.6 shots on target in recent matches
- Form trend: FC Union Berlin currently scores more frequently, averaging 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
风险
- Away defensive weakness: Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away match this season
- Stagnating attack: Eintracht Frankfurt's goal production has slowed down to 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
全部概率
赛果
FC Union Berlin49%
平局27%
Eintracht Frankfurt24%
进球
大于 1.578%
小于 1.522%
大于 2.553%
小于 2.547%
大于 3.531%
小于 3.569%
双重机会
FC Union Berlin或平局76%
Eintracht Frankfurt或平局51%
非平局73%
双方均进球
是56%
否44%
最可能的比分
1:1
13%
2:1
10%
2:0
9%
1:2
6%
2:2
5%
3:3
最终比分
首发阵容
FC Union Berlin 4-1-3-2 · Eintracht Frankfurt 4-4-2
FC Union Berlin
- 31 M. Raab
- 18 J. Juranović
- 14 L. Querfeld
- 4 Z. Van Den Bosch
- 15 T. Rothe
- 6 A. Kemlein
- 20 M. Aebischer
- 8 R. Khedira
- 13 A. Schafer
- 27 M. Ljubičić
- 29 E. Latte Lath
Eintracht Frankfurt
- 1 N. Atubolu
- 2 E. Baum
- 4 R. Koch
- 37 J. Maluze
- 26 K. Kosugi
- 29 A. Amaimouni-Echghouyab
- 8 F. Chaïbi
- 25 R. Nwadike
- 42 C. Uzun
- 11 Y. Ebnoutalib
- 9 J. Burkardt
替补
- 9 L. Burcu
- 28 C. Trimmel
- 17 D. Köhn
- 25 C. Klaus
- 21 T. Skarke
- 11 W. Jeong
- 19 J. Haberer
- 2 F. Uduokhai
- 49 L. Güther
- 6 O. Højlund
- 31 P. Arrhov
- 27 M. Götze
- 40 K. Morais Vieira dos Santos
- 22 T. Chandler
- 19 J. Bahoya
- 35 M. Razak Engholm Pimpong
- 5 O. Galdino Fernandes
- 15 N. Aséko Nkili
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