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Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen - FC Union Berlin

09/05/2026, 01:30 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2.2
Total xG
3.5
FC Union Berlin
1.3
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
B0LFUB

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均3球)
-1.54
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.04
Alejandro Grimaldo未进大名单 (8球, 8助攻)
Robert Andrich替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.3球 vs 总体1.9球)

FC Union Berlin

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.85
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.35
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.35
Andrej Ilic未进大名单 (5球, 10助攻)
Oliver Burke未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
Ilyas Ansah未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
Danilho Doekhi未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
András Schäfer替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Christopher Trimmel替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
56%进球产出缺失 (仅39%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

22%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

78%

双方进球

67%

34%

关键因素
  • Only 40% of Union Berlin's goal threat is available due to the absence of Andrej Ilic, Oliver Burke, Ilyas Ansah, Danilho Doekhi, András Schäfer, and Christopher Trimmel
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen recently averaged 5.8 shots on target with high possession (58%)
  • Mathematical analysis favors Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a 56% home win probability
风险因素
  • FC Union Berlin concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen must play without Alejandro Grimaldo (8 goals, 8 assists) and Robert Andrich
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (14th place, 0 points) host FC Union Berlin (9th place, 1 point) at the BayArena

Bundesliga match on September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM

Leverkusen search for their first points after a disappointing start

近期状态

Leverkusen's form string is WWLDL with a loss in their last match

The hosts recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently

FC Union Berlin's form string is LDWWD with a draw in their last match

Union Berlin currently scores more frequently with 2.6 goals than their season average of 1.4 goals

统计数据

Leverkusen averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per game this season

At home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored an average of 2.0 goals per match

The visitors from Berlin score an average of 1.29 goals per game

In away games, Union Berlin concedes an average of 2.29 goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

FC Union Berlin recorded 2 wins, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1 match

1 match ended in a draw

The last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of FC Union Berlin

关键球员

Patrik Schick with 16 season goals and Aleix García with 8 assists shape the play

Edmond Tapsoba stabilizes the defense with a season rating of 7.13

Josip Juranovic has stood out with 1 goal and 3 assists in recent matches

Marin Ljubicic scored 2 goals in only 2 season appearances

Rani Khedira controls the midfield with 32 season appearances

门将

Mark Flekken guards the goal with a season rating of 6.83

Bayer 04 Leverkusen managed 8 clean sheets this season

Frederik Rönnow is in goal with a season rating of 6.67

Union Berlin kept 7 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The BayArena features a high average of 4.2 total goals per match

Both teams scored in all 5 analyzed home matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen will play the match on their familiar grass surface

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