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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig

09/05/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Werder Bremen
1.1
Total xG
3.0
RB Leipzig
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

1:3

6%

2:1

6%
xG 分解
WBRL

Werder Bremen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.41倍)
-2.36
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均3球)
-1.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.15
Jens Stage未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Romano Schmid未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻)
Yukinari Sugawara未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Justin Njinmah未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Cameron Puertas未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
74%进球产出缺失 (仅22%可用)

RB Leipzig

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+1.03
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.38
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.01
Christoph Baumgartner未进大名单 (13球, 9助攻)
Yan Diomande未进大名单 (12球, 8助攻)
Rômulo未进大名单 (9球, 5助攻)
Assan Ouédraogo未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Brajan Gruda未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Xaver Schlager未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Max Finkgräfe未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
68%进球产出缺失 (仅41%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

25%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

75%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Bremen heavily weakened: Only 23% of the usual goal threat available without Jens Stage, Romano Schmid, Yukinari Sugawara, Justin Njinmah, and Cameron Puertas
  • Leipzig also severely depleted: Only 42% of the goal threat on pitch without Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Rômulo, Assan Ouédraogo, Brajan Gruda, Xaver Schlager, and Max Finkgräfe
  • Leipzig averaged 7.4 shots on target in recent matches, presenting high offensive power
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Leipzig conceded an average of 2.08 goals per away game
  • Bremen's negative trend with 4 consecutive losses and stalled goal production (0.6 goals recently)
概述

Werder Bremen (16th place, 0 points) host RB Leipzig (3rd place, 3 points)

Match at the Wohninvest Weserstadion on September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM

Bremen is under pressure after a poor start while Leipzig aims to build on their opening win

近期状态

Form Werder Bremen: DLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Bremen has no wins in their last 5 matches and suffered 4 consecutive losses recently

Form RB Leipzig: WLWLW

Leipzig recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games

统计数据

Bremen scored 1.09 goals and conceded 1.76 goals on average per match this season

Leipzig averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per match

Leipzig concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game

Bremen's home record shows an average of 1.12 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

RB Leipzig dominates with 3 wins and 1 draw

Werder Bremen is still waiting for their first win against Leipzig

The last encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Leipzig on April 4, 2026

关键球员

For Bremen, Olivier Deman (average rating 6.96), Amos Pieper (6.93) and Marco Grüll (6.81) are in focus

For Leipzig, David Raum (rating 7.44, 3 goals, 7 assists), Willi Orbán (7.19) and Antonio Nusa (7.04, 4 goals, 4 assists) are key

Both teams rely on their statistically strongest available performers

门将

Karl Hein played 2 matches for Bremen this season with a rating of 7.6

Maarten Vandevoordt stood in goal 12 times for Leipzig with a rating of 6.80

Bremen kept 6 clean sheets in total, while Leipzig has 11 clean sheets

影响因素

Home advantage for Bremen at the Wohninvest Weserstadion on grass pitch

Stadium stats show an average of 3 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at the Weserstadion

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