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Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund

09/05/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
TSG Hoffenheim
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Borussia Dortmund
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
THBD

TSG Hoffenheim

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-2.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
Andrej Kramaric未进大名单 (14球, 6助攻)
Fisnik Asllani未进大名单 (10球, 8助攻)
Bazoumana Touré未进大名单 (5球, 9助攻)
54%进球产出缺失 (仅48%可用)

Borussia Dortmund

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.03
Julian Brandt未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Nico Schlotterbeck未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Marcel Sabitzer替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

29%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Only 48% of the goal threat is available, missing Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani, and Bazoumana Touré
  • Both teams recently averaged high offensive activity with more than 5 shots on target per match
  • The model predicts a 56% probability that both teams will score
风险因素
  • TSG Hoffenheim recently conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game
  • TSG Hoffenheim's goal production has dropped to an average of 1.6 goals recently compared to the season average
概述

TSG Hoffenheim (13th place, 0 points) vs Borussia Dortmund (5th place, 3 points)

Match on September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM at the PreZero Arena

Early Bundesliga encounter after the season start

近期状态

TSG Hoffenheim form is WDWLL

Last game ended in a defeat

Borussia Dortmund form is WLWWW

Most recent match was a victory

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Hoffenheim scores an average of 1.91 goals and concedes 1.53 goals

Borussia Dortmund averages 2.06 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded

Hoffenheim at home averages 1.94 goals per game

Dortmund away averages 2.00 goals per match

High scoring history at the PreZero Arena with 3.0 total goals per game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Borussia Dortmund has 2 wins, TSG Hoffenheim has 1 win and 1 draw

Last duel ended 2:1 for TSG Hoffenheim on April 18, 2026

Goal difference of 5:7 from Hoffenheim's perspective

关键球员

Wouter Burger has an average rating of 7.12 with 4 goals and 6 assists

Tim Lemperle contributed 8 goals and 2 assists so far

Ozan Kabak convinces in defense with a rating of 6.95 and 4 goals

Serhou Guirassy scored 17 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Julian Ryerson shines with 16 assists in 31 appearances

Maximilian Beier registered 9 goals and 6 assists this season

Not nominated: Julian Brandt, Nico Schlotterbeck, Marcel Sabitzer

门将

Oliver Baumann kept a clean sheet in 1 of the last 5 matches out of 34 total season appearances

Gregor Kobel played in all 5 of the last 5 matches with 15 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage for Hoffenheim at the PreZero Arena with an average of 1.94 home goals scored

Dortmund scores an average of 2.00 goals per away match

Historically, matches at this stadium produce an average of 3.0 goals

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