Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart - FC Köln
09/04/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
VfB Stuttgart
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- VfB Stuttgart's strong home record averaging 2.14 goals per game meets Köln's vulnerable away defense
- Köln's squad is severely weakened with only 54% of their usual starting strength active due to the absence of top scorer Said El Mala
- The mathematical model projects a 48% home win probability with 1.65 expected goals for Stuttgart
风险因素
- Köln struggles heavily on the road conceding an average of 2.54 goals per away match
- Both Stuttgart and Köln are missing several key players which could destabilize tactical consistency
- Stuttgart's defensive lines showed serious vulnerabilities during their recent 1-5 defeat against FC Bayern
概述
VfB Stuttgart hosts FC Köln at the MHPArena
Bundesliga match on September 4, 2026, 8:30 PM
Stuttgart enters the second matchday in 18th place
Köln started their campaign successfully and currently sits in 6th place
近期状态
Stuttgart's recent form across all competitions is DDWDL
Their last fixture ended in a heavy 1-5 away defeat against FC Bayern München
Köln travels with an overall form string of LDLLW
They recorded a 3-2 home victory against TSG Hoffenheim in their last match
统计数据
Stuttgart averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game this season
Their home record is solid with an average of 2.14 goals scored and only 1.14 goals conceded
Köln averaged 1.46 goals scored away from home but conceded a weak average of 2.54 goals in away games
历史交锋
Stuttgart dominated the last 2 head-to-head meetings with 2 wins
Köln failed to secure a win in these direct matches
The historical goal difference is 5-2 in favor of Stuttgart
The last match on February 14, 2026 ended in a 3-1 home win for Stuttgart
关键球员
Stuttgart's Deniz Undav excels with 19 goals and 7 assists this season
Chris Führich contributed 7 goals and 7 assists from midfield
Maximilian Mittelstädt stands out with 6 goals and 4 assists from defense
For Köln Ragnar Ache leads the attack with 7 goals and 4 assists
Jan Thielmann registered 3 goals and 1 assist
Ísak Jóhannesson recorded 1 goal and 2 assists
门将
Fabian Bredlow has no league appearances for Stuttgart this season but rated at 6.92 in his last game
Marvin Schwäbe played 34 matches for Köln and kept 3 clean sheets
影响因素
The match takes place on the natural grass of MHPArena
Historically matches at this stadium produce an average of 3.0 goals per game
The venue features a both teams to score rate of 0.6