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Bundesliga

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg

09/05/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 4
预期进球
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Elversberg
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
BMELV

Borussia Mönchengladbach

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-1.64
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均3球)
-1.13
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Haris Tabakovic未进大名单 (13球, 2助攻)
Yannik Engelhardt未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Rocco Reitz未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Kevin Stöger替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Nico Elvedi未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)

Elversberg

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.04
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

26%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

74%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Gladbach's attacking threat is weakened as key starters like Haris Tabakovic are missing, leaving only 70% of their typical goal-scoring capacity available
  • Tactical setup: Gladbach averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches, while Elversberg showed high efficiency with 6.0 shots on target in their last game
  • The mathematical model favors Gladbach with a calculated home win probability of 48%
风险因素
  • Gladbach are missing key players, leaving only 70% of their goal threat available
  • Restricted data availability for Elversberg player stats
  • Elversberg conceded 2 goals in their opening match
概述

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Elversberg at the Stadion im Borussia-Park

Match on September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM

Gladbach are currently in 18th place with 0 points

The visitors from Elversberg travel as 6th in the table with 3 points

近期状态

Gladbach's recent form is DWLWL

Their last result was a defeat against RB Leipzig

Elversberg have a form of W

The visitors won their opening match against Leverkusen

Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Gladbach scored an average of 1.24 goals and conceded 1.56 goals last season

In home games their average was 1.26 scored and 1.26 conceded

Elversberg scored 3 goals and conceded 2 in their only game so far

Both teams scored in 14 of Gladbach's 34 matches

关键球员

Kevin Diks scored 5 goals in 30 appearances with a rating of 6.94

Franck Honorat contributed 2 goals and 6 assists in 28 matches

Moritz Nicolas starts in goal and has a season rating of 7.14

Elversberg start with Nicolas Kristof, Jan Gyamerah and Lukas Pinckert

门将

Moritz Nicolas guards the goal for Gladbach with a season average rating of 7.14

His recent form rating has risen to 7.47 over the last 5 games

Nicolas Kristof is the starting goalkeeper for the visitors

影响因素

Matches at the Stadion im Borussia-Park averaged 2.6 total goals recently

The match will be played on grass

Gladbach hold a home record of 24 goals scored and 24 goals conceded

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