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Bundesliga

Paderborn - SC Freiburg

09/05/2026, 01:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Paderborn
2.8
Total xG
3.9
SC Freiburg
1.1
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

7%

4:1

6%

4:0

5%
xG 分解
PADSF

Paderborn

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.99
全员可用

SC Freiburg

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.49
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.37
状态上升 (3 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.37
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.50
+1.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

71%

平局

17%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

74%

Under 2.5

26%

Over 3.5

54%

Under 3.5

46%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

29%

非平局

83%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • SC Freiburg currently scores more frequently (3.0) than their season average (1.8)
  • SC Freiburg averaged 55.2% possession in recent matches
  • Paderborn recorded 0.0 shots on target in their last match
风险因素
  • SC Freiburg conceded an average of 2.92 goals per away game
  • Paderborn recorded 0.0 shots on target in their last match, indicating few chances
  • Limited data available on head-to-head matches
概述

Paderborn (11th place, 1 point) host SC Freiburg (2nd place, 3 points) at the Home Deluxe Arena

Bundesliga match on September 5, 2026, 3:30 PM

The visitors arrive as favorites after an opening win

近期状态

Paderborn started with a draw (Form: D)

SC Freiburg shows strong form (Form: WLWWW)

The visitors recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their recent games

Freiburg's trend is positive following their latest 4-1 victory

统计数据

Paderborn kept a clean sheet in their opening match with 0 goals scored and 0 conceded

Paderborn recorded 49% possession and 0.0 shots on target in their last match

SC Freiburg scored 51 goals last season (avg. 1.5)

The visitors conceded an average of 2.92 goals per away game with 35 goals conceded in 12 away matches

SC Freiburg averaged 55.2% possession and 6.6 shots on target in recent matches

Freiburg had both teams score in 21 of their matches last season

关键球员

Marvin Pieringer stood on the pitch in 1 match

Rayan Philippe played 1 match at the venue

Gabriel Vidovic recorded 1 appearance as well

Igor Matanovic scored 11 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Yuito Suzuki has 4 goals and 3 assists with a recent rating of 7.92

Matthias Ginter supports the defense with a 6.96 rating, 3 goals, and 4 assists

门将

Nahuel Noll plays in goal for Paderborn and kept a clean sheet in the opening match

Mio Backhaus is in goal for Freiburg, which recorded 6 clean sheets last season

影响因素

Paderborn has 7 days of rest since their last match

Freiburg has 6 days of recovery since their last game

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 71%

The model also calculates 2.75 expected goals for the home team

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