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Bundesliga

Schalke 04 - FC Bayern München

09/05/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Schalke 04
2.6
Total xG
4.7
FC Bayern München
2.1
最可能的比分

2:2

7%

2:1

6%

3:2

6%

3:1

6%

1:2

5%
xG 分解
S0FBM

Schalke 04

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.93
全员可用

FC Bayern München

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.83倍)
+1.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均3球)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.13
Harry Kane替补席 (36球, 5助攻)
Michael Olise替补席 (15球, 19助攻)
Leon Goretzka未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Jamal Musiala替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Josip Stanisic替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Min-jae Kim替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.3球 vs 总体3.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.1球)
+1.58
+1.58
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

20%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

96%

Under 1.5

4%

Over 2.5

85%

Under 2.5

15%

Over 3.5

69%

Under 3.5

31%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

80%

双方进球

82%

18%

关键因素
  • Major squad impact for Bayern: Only 63% of the usual starting lineup strength available with six key players missing, including Harry Kane and Michael Olise
  • Bayern dominated recently with an average of 67% possession and 7.6 shots on target per match
  • The mathematical model calculates a high probability of 68% for a Schalke home win or draw
风险因素
  • FC Bayern's goal production is stalling recently, averaging 3.0 goals compared to their season average of 3.5
  • Schalke's defense proved highly vulnerable after conceding 3 goals in their last match
  • Limited data available regarding the individual player statistics of Schalke 04
概述

Schalke 04 (17th place, 0 points) host FC Bayern München (4th place, 3 points) at the Veltins-Arena

Bundesliga match on September 5, 2026, 6:30 PM

Schalke aim to secure their first points after a disappointing start

Bayern enter the clash as favorites

The mathematical analysis predicts 2.60 home goals for Schalke and 2.13 goals for the visitors

近期状态

Schalke 04 with form L

Last match ended in a 0-3 defeat against Augsburg

FC Bayern München with form DDWWW

Bayern secured 3 wins and 2 draws recently

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Schalke conceded an average of 3 goals so far

Bayern scored an average of 3.59 goals per game last season while conceding 1.06

Bayern averaged 3.60 goals per away match

The Munich defense conceded an average of 1.13 goals on the road

关键球员

Moussa Sylla starts in the lineup for Schalke 04

Dejan Ljubicic and Robin Gosens occupy the midfield for the hosts

Luis Díaz has already scored 15 goals and provided 14 assists for Bayern

Joshua Kimmich leads the midfield with 2 goals and 8 assists

Dayot Upamecano solidifies the defense with an average rating of 6.94

门将

Loris Karius is in goal for Schalke 04

Manuel Neuer guarded the Bayern goal in 22 season appearances

Neuer has an average rating of 6.63

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Veltins-Arena

Schalke has 6 days of rest since their last match

Bayern enters the game with 8 days of recovery time

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