Bundesliga
RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV
09/13/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.3
0.9
2:0
11%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
8%xG 分解
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
69%
平局
19%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
31%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Severe squad impact for HSV: Only 51% of seasonal goal threat is available without Fábio Vieira and Bakery Jatta
- Away weakness meets home potential: Hamburg concedes an extreme average of 2.46 goals per away match
- High mathematical winning chance: The calculated home win probability stands at 69%
风险因素
- RB Leipzig with only 3 days of rest since their last match at a clear disadvantage against Hamburg with 7 days of rest
- Leipzig's declining goal production with 1.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.0
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
RB Leipzig (12th place, 3 points) host Hamburger SV (17th place, 0 points) at the Red Bull Arena
Bundesliga match on September 13, 2026, 3:30 PM
A clear matchup between the favorites and an underdog with zero points
近期状态
RB Leipzig with a form of WLWLL in their last five matches
The home side suffered two consecutive defeats recently
Hamburger SV travels with a form of WWDLL
Both teams lost their last matches in league play
统计数据
Leipzig score an average of 1.90 goals at home and concede 0.95 goals
Hamburg concede an average of 2.46 goals per away match
The away defensive record clearly works against the visitors
历史交锋
Two direct head-to-head matches in history
Both matches ended in home victories for Leipzig
Leipzig won the last encounter 2-1 on March 1, 2026
关键球员
David Raum stands out as a defender with 3 goals and 7 assists in 30 matches
Antonio Nusa contributed 4 goals and 4 assists in 31 games
Brajan Gruda has 3 goals and 3 assists from 13 appearances
For the visitors Albert Sambi Lokonga scored 5 goals in 26 games
Nicolás Capaldo recorded 1 goal and 3 assists in 26 matches
Albert Grønbæk has 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 appearances
门将
Maarten Vandevoordt plays in goal for Leipzig with an average rating of 6.80
Daniel Heuer Fernandes guards the visitors' goal with a rating of 6.87
Leipzig secured 6 clean sheets at home this season
影响因素
Played on natural grass at the Red Bull Arena
Stadium stats show an average of 2.4 goals per match
Leipzig has strong home records with 1.90 goals scored per home match