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Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart

09/12/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
TSG Hoffenheim
1.8
Total xG
3.2
VfB Stuttgart
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
THVS

TSG Hoffenheim

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均2.3球)
-0.66
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.64
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
Andrej Kramaric未进大名单 (14球, 6助攻)
Fisnik Asllani未进大名单 (10球, 8助攻)
Bazoumana Touré未进大名单 (5球, 9助攻)
46%进球产出缺失 (仅55%可用)

VfB Stuttgart

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
Deniz Undav未进大名单 (19球, 7助攻)
Jamie Leweling替补席 (7球, 9助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.45
+1.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

26%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • The model calculates a home win probability of 48% and expects 1.83 goals for Hoffenheim
  • Hoffenheim recently averaged 5.2 shots on target with a dominant 59% possession
  • Historically high goal rate at the PreZero Arena averaging 3.6 goals per match
风险因素
  • VfB Stuttgart with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Andrej Kramaric, Fisnik Asllani, and Bazoumana Touré are missing, with only 56% of regular goal-scoring threat available
  • Deniz Undav and Jamie Leweling are missing, with only 63% of offensive strength available
概述

TSG Hoffenheim host VfB Stuttgart at the PreZero Arena

Bundesliga fixture on September 12, 2026, 3:30 PM

Hoffenheim is currently 16th with 0 points after two defeats

Stuttgart sits in 10th place with 3 points

The home side is already under early pressure this season

近期状态

TSG Hoffenheim shows a weak form of DWLLL with three consecutive losses

VfB Stuttgart is in better shape with WDLWW and two wins in a row

Hoffenheim recently lost a close match 2-3 against Borussia Dortmund

Stuttgart comes off a 3-1 home win against Viking

统计数据

Hoffenheim averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded last season

At home Hoffenheim scored 1.94 goals per match on average

Stuttgart averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded last season

In away matches Stuttgart conceded an average of 1.65 goals

历史交锋

The last 4 head-to-head matches all ended in a draw

Goal difference is completely balanced at 5-5

Their last meeting on May 2, 2026, ended in a high-scoring 3-3 draw

Neither side has managed to dominate this fixture recently

关键球员

Tim Lemperle has 8 goals and 2 assists this season with a rating of 6.85

Vladimír Coufal provides 8 assists and 1 goal with a rating of 7.09

Ozan Kabak stabilizes the defense and scored 4 goals with a rating of 6.95

Ermedin Demirovic is Stuttgart's top threat with 12 goals and 3 assists

Chris Führich contributed 7 goals and 7 assists with a rating of 7.10

Maximilian Mittelstädt shines in defense with 6 goals, 4 assists, and a rating of 7.27

门将

Oliver Baumann played 34 games for TSG Hoffenheim and achieved 7 clean sheets

Fabian Bredlow made 2 appearances in recent games with a rating of 6.94

Stuttgart's defense kept 11 clean sheets over the entire season

影响因素

Hoffenheim's home advantage is backed by 1.94 goals scored per home match

Matches at the PreZero Arena averaged a high 3.6 goals recently

The grass pitch offers familiar playing conditions for both sides

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