Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Paderborn
09/12/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.9
1.7
2:1
8%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
Borussia Dortmund
Paderborn
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
23%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
74%
Under 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
54%
Under 3.5
46%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
73%
否
27%
关键因素
- Class gap in form: Dortmund is riding a 5-match winning streak while Paderborn remains winless
- Tactical dominance: Dortmund averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Paderborn's 1.5
- Mathematical prediction: The model predicts a home win with a 47% probability and 2.14 expected goals
风险因素
- Low offensive threat from the visitors with an average of only 1.5 shots on target in recent matches
- Limited data availability regarding head-to-head history and visitors' player statistics
概述
Borussia Dortmund (3rd place, 6 points) host Paderborn (13th place, 1 point) at the Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga match on September 12, 2026, 3:30 PM
The hosts enter this clash as clear favorites
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund is in flawless form with 5 wins from their last 5 matches
Hosts' form: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Paderborn is still waiting for their first win of the season with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Visitors' form: DL
统计数据
Dortmund scores an average of 2.06 goals per game this season and concedes 1.0 goals
The hosts' attack is currently more clinical, scoring 2.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.1
Paderborn has not scored a goal yet this season and concedes an average of 0.5 goals
The visitors average only 0.9 expected goals per game over their last two matches
关键球员
Serhou Guirassy with 17 goals this season and 6 goals in his last 5 matches
Nico Schlotterbeck impresses with a season rating of 7.32 and 5 goals
Julian Ryerson has already provided 16 assists this season
Marvin Pieringer with 2 appearances at this venue and an average rating of 6.0
Gabriel Vidovic with 1 played match at this venue
Santiago Castañeda also has 1 game recorded at this venue
门将
Gregor Kobel guards the hosts' goal and has recorded 15 clean sheets this season
Over the last 5 matches, Kobel achieved an average rating of 7.03
Nahuel Noll is in goal for the visitors, who have recorded 1 clean sheet so far this season
影响因素
Strong home record for Dortmund with an average of 2.11 goals scored and 0.84 conceded in their own stadium
The Signal Iduna Park averages 3.4 goals per match
The match will be played on natural grass