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Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - Eintracht Frankfurt

09/12/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
FSV Mainz 05
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FM0EF

FSV Mainz 05

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.99
状态上升 (2.5 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.32
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Paul Nebel未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
Danny da Costa替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Dominik Kohr未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

Eintracht Frankfurt

防守实力 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.58
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.57
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.00
Nathaniel Brown未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻)
Arnaud Kalimuendo未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.45
+1.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

28%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Mainz in strong form: The home team is currently scoring more frequently (2.5 goals) than their season average (1.44 goals)
  • Tactical offensive threat: Mainz recently averaged 6.0 shots on target, while Frankfurt averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Weakened Frankfurt squad: Without Nathaniel Brown and Arnaud Kalimuendo, only 79% of the normal starting XI strength is available
风险因素
  • Frankfurt's vulnerable away defense concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away match
  • Missing starting strength for Mainz: Important alternatives are missing without Paul Nebel, Danny da Costa, and Dominik Kohr
  • Defensive absence: Dominik Kohr is unavailable due to an injury
概述

FSV Mainz 05 (5th place, 4 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (14th place, 1 point) at the Mewa Arena

Match on September 12, 2026, 3:30 PM

Mainz starts the season unbeaten, while Frankfurt is under pressure after a slow start

近期状态

Mainz is in stable form (Form: WLWDW - W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recently achieved a clear 5-0 victory against Hamburger SV

Frankfurt is winless in their last 5 matches (Form: LLDDL)

Most recently suffered a 1-4 defeat against FC Augsburg

统计数据

Mainz averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per match

Frankfurt scored 1.79 goals on average but also conceded 1.91 goals per game

Last season Frankfurt had 25 BTTS games and 23 matches with over 2.5 goals

Mainz recorded a balanced home record with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Mainz with 2 wins, Frankfurt with 1 win and 1 draw

Mainz scored 6 goals, Frankfurt 4 goals

The last encounter ended 2-1 for Mainz on March 22, 2026

关键球员

Nadiem Amiri with 12 goals and 2 assists as a goalscoring midfielder

Phillip Tietz is in strong form with 4 goals in his last 5 matches

Sheraldo Becker contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Jonathan Burkardt is Frankfurt's top attacker with 13 season goals and 4 in his last 5 games

Can Uzun shines in midfield with 8 goals and 6 assists this season

Ritsu Doan has scored 5 goals and provided 5 assists so far

门将

Robin Zentner played 10 season matches for Mainz

Frankfurt recorded 7 clean sheets in total this season

Mainz has managed 4 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

The match takes place at the Mewa Arena on a grass pitch

The historical goal average at this stadium is 3.2 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of historical matches at this venue

Both teams scored in 40% of those games

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