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Bundesliga

Elversberg - FC Bayern München

09/13/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Elversberg
2.2
Total xG
4.3
FC Bayern München
2.1
最可能的比分

2:2

7%

2:1

7%

1:2

7%

3:2

5%

2:3

5%
xG 分解
ELVFBM

Elversberg

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.68
全员可用

FC Bayern München

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+0.73
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.38
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
-0.09
Luis Díaz替补席 (15球, 14助攻)
Konrad Laimer替补席 (3球, 9助攻)
Joshua Kimmich替补席 (2球, 8助攻)
Jamal Musiala替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Jonathan Tah替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Alphonso Davies替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.3球 vs 总体3.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.34
+1.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

21%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

94%

Under 1.5

6%

Over 2.5

81%

Under 2.5

19%

Over 3.5

63%

Under 3.5

37%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

79%

双方进球

79%

21%

关键因素
  • Tactical attacking power: Elversberg averaged 8.0 shots on target recently, compared to Bayern's average of 8.4 per match
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates an 81% probability for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score
  • Efficiency trend: Bayern is currently scoring more frequently (4.0 goals) than their season average of 3.5
风险因素
  • Severe Bayern squad impact: Six key players including Luis Díaz and Joshua Kimmich are missing, leaving only 84% starting strength
  • Fatigue factor: FC Bayern München has only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
  • Defensive vulnerability: Elversberg concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game
概述

Elversberg host FC Bayern München at the URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Bundesliga match on September 13, 2026, 5:30 PM

Surprising table neighborhood duel: Elversberg sit in 4th place with 6 points, Bayern right behind in 5th with 4 points

Both teams remain unbeaten this season

近期状态

Elversberg started perfectly with 2 wins from 2 games

Overall form: WW

Most recently, they won a high-scoring match 4-3 against Mönchengladbach

FC Bayern is unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw

Overall form: WWWDW

In their last game, they celebrated a clear 5-0 win against Bodø / Glimt

统计数据

Elversberg score an average of 3.5 goals per game while conceding 2.5

Bayern average a historically strong 3.59 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game

Elversberg's games saw over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in both matchdays

Bayern achieved 12 clean sheets in the previous season

关键球员

Lukas Petkov has 1 goal, 1 assist and a venue rating of 7.78

Cole Campbell has scored 1 home goal with a rating of 7.16

David Mokwa also scored once at home with a rating of 7.17

Harry Kane dominates with 36 season goals and an average rating of 7.87

Michael Olise shines with 15 goals, 19 assists and a rating of 7.81

Tom Bischof shows rising form with 3 goals and a rating of 7.15

门将

Nicolas Kristof is in goal for Elversberg and is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season

Jonas Urbig guards the goal for Munich, having not played in the previous season

FC Bayern kept 12 clean sheets in the past season

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Elversberg scored 3 goals and conceded 2 in their only home game so far

The venue statistics show a high-scoring average of 5.0 goals per game

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