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Bundesliga

FC Köln - Werder Bremen

09/12/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
FC Köln
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Werder Bremen
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FKWB

FC Köln

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Said El Mala替补席 (13球, 5助攻)
Jakub Kamiński未进大名单 (7球, 3助攻)
Ísak Jóhannesson替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Kristoffer Lund未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
68%进球产出缺失 (仅38%可用)

Werder Bremen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.77
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.32
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
Jens Stage未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Romano Schmid未进大名单 (4球, 8助攻)
Justin Njinmah未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Cameron Puertas未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
69%进球产出缺失 (仅27%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.42
+1.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

26%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

74%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Severe personnel shortage for Köln: Only 39% of goal-threat is available as key players like Said El Mala and Jakub Kamiński are missing
  • Massive blow for Bremen: Only 28% of usual offensive threat is ready without the unselected Jens Stage and Romano Schmid
  • Statistical advantage for Köln: The calculation model predicts a home win probability of 54%
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability for Köln: The home team recently conceded an average of 3.2 goals per match
  • Offensive slump for Bremen: The away team's goal production has recently stalled at an average of 1.0 goal per match
概述

FC Köln host Werder Bremen at the RheinEnergieStadion

Bundesliga match on September 12, 2026, 6:30 PM

Both teams sit in mid-table with 3 points each

近期状态

FC Köln enter with form DLLWL and a recent 1-4 loss against VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen arrive with form LLLLW, but recently won 3-1 against RB Leipzig

Köln recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Bremen registered 1 win and 4 losses in their past 5 matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Köln scored 49 goals in the season (Avg. 1.44 per game) and conceded 63 (Avg. 1.85)

Werder Bremen scored 37 goals (Avg. 1.09) and conceded 60 (Avg. 1.76)

Both teams scored in 27 of Köln's matches and 16 of Bremen's matches

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 22 home team matches and 18 away team matches

历史交锋

A total of 2 head-to-head matches in the data

FC Köln have 1 win, while Werder Bremen are yet to secure a victory

There was also 1 draw between the two teams

The last meeting ended 3-1 for Köln on April 12, 2026

关键球员

Marius Bülter scored 5 goals and provided 4 assists (average rating 6.88)

Alessio Castro-Montes contributed 1 goal and 3 assists (rating 6.89)

Linton Maina scored 2 goals this season (rating 6.68)

For Bremen, Marco Grüll has 3 goals and 1 assist (rating 6.81)

Olivier Deman registered 1 goal and 2 assists (rating 6.96)

Marco Friedl scored 1 goal this season (rating 6.83)

门将

Marvin Schwäbe is in goal for FC Köln, playing 34 season matches

He has 1 home clean sheet (3 clean sheets overall)

Karl Hein guards the net for Werder Bremen, playing in 2 matches

He has yet to keep a clean sheet this season

影响因素

The RheinEnergieStadion offers excellent conditions with its natural grass surface

In the last 5 home matches, an average of 4.4 goals were scored per game

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 of those matches

Köln scored 30 goals at home (Avg. 1.43) and conceded 30 goals (Avg. 1.43)

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