Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach
09/12/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
29%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Form and standings gap: Second-placed Freiburg secured four consecutive wins recently, while Gladbach in 17th place struggle with two consecutive defeats
- Head-to-head dominance: Freiburg clearly dominate recent meetings with 3 wins from the last 4 encounters
- Home strength vs away weakness: Freiburg concede just 1.0 goals per game at home, whereas Gladbach concede an average of 1.93 goals in away matches
风险因素
- Gladbach's defensive weakness on the road with an average of 1.93 goals conceded per away match
- The absence of J. Castrop due to a shoulder injury weakens Gladbach's midfield
概述
SC Freiburg host Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga match on September 12, 2026, 3:30 PM
Second-placed Freiburg face Gladbach in 17th position
Freiburg aim to maintain their perfect start while Gladbach seek their first points
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 47%
The model calculates 1.52 expected goals for Freiburg and 1.04 for Gladbach
近期状态
Freiburg show form LWWWW
Four wins and one loss in the last five matches
Mönchengladbach display form WLWLL
The visitors recorded two wins and three losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Freiburg score an average of 1.5 goals per match
At home Freiburg concede only 1.0 goals per game
Gladbach concede an average of 1.93 goals in away matches
SC Freiburg averaged 6.6 shots on target with 55% possession in recent matches
Mönchengladbach averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches
历史交锋
Freiburg dominate recent encounters with 3 wins in 4 matches
Mönchengladbach have not won any of these recent meetings
The last duel ended in a 2-1 victory for SC Freiburg
Goal difference of 7-3 in favor of Freiburg
关键球员
Yuito Suzuki with 3 goals in his last 3 matches and a rising trend
Igor Matanovic with a strong rating of 7.40 in recent games
Maximilian Eggestein with 1 goal and 1 assist recently
Hugo Bolin has scored 4 goals in his last 5 appearances
Franck Honorat registered 3 assists in recent matches
Moritz Nicolas shows a rising form trend in goal
门将
Mio Backhaus starts in goal for Freiburg
Moritz Nicolas impresses with a season rating of 7.14
Gladbach secured 13 clean sheets this season
Freiburg kept 6 clean sheets overall
影响因素
Home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion on grass
Freiburg's home venue has a 100% both teams to score rate
An average of 4.2 total goals scored in recent matches at this venue