Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - RB Leipzig
09/20/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.3
1.3
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
7%1:2
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
24%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Leverkusen's home scoring average of 2.0 goals meets Leipzig's weak away defense conceding 2.08 goals per game
- Tactical dominance: Leverkusen controlled their last matches with 62% average possession and 7.2 shots on target, compared to Leipzig's 6.4 shots on target
- Performance of top players: Striker Patrik Schick is in excellent form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches
风险因素
- Squad impact: The absence of Malik Tillman leaves Leverkusen with only 88% of their usual starting lineup strength
- Defensive away weakness: Leipzig concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match this season
概述
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (10th place, 4 points) hosts RB Leipzig (7th place, 6 points) at the BayArena
Bundesliga match on September 20, 2026, 3:30 PM
Mid-table duel with both teams aiming for the top spots
近期状态
Leverkusen has a form of DLWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with a win in their last match
RB Leipzig has a form of LWLLW with a win in their last match
Leverkusen got 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
Leipzig registered 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games
统计数据
Leverkusen scores 2.0 goals on average and concedes 1.38 goals per game this season
Leipzig averages 1.94 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 51% and expects 1.96 goals for the hosts
Leipzig concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game while scoring 2.0 goals
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total
Bayer 04 Leverkusen leads with 2 wins compared to 1 win for RB Leipzig and 1 draw
The last match ended in a clear 4:1 home win for Leverkusen on May 2, 2026
关键球员
Patrik Schick is on a rising form trend with 3 goals in his last 5 matches
Aleix García has an rising form trend with 8 assists this season
Antonio Nusa shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games
门将
Mark Flekken in goal for Leverkusen has a stable form and 6 clean sheets at home this season
Maarten Vandevoordt has a stable form trend for Leipzig
影响因素
The BayArena averaged 3.2 total goals per game over the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 60% of these games
Home advantage for Leverkusen is supported by their home average of 2.0 goals scored against Leipzig's 2.08 goals conceded away