Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund
09/19/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
27%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a home win probability of 50% for Stuttgart
- Outstanding away trend: Dortmund travel with 5 consecutive wins and score more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.2)
- Tactical activity: Dortmund averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Stuttgart's 5.4
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability: Stuttgart recently conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.49
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
VfB Stuttgart (14th place, 3 points) host Borussia Dortmund (3rd place, 9 points)
Bundesliga match at MHPArena on September 19, 2026, 6:30 PM
Dortmund travel with a perfect record of three wins
Stuttgart aim to correct their slow start
近期状态
VfB Stuttgart show the form DLWWL
Most recently they suffered a 1-2 defeat against TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund are in outstanding shape with the form WWWWW
Five wins in the last five competitive matches underline their strong form
统计数据
VfB Stuttgart scored an average of 2.09 goals per game last season
Their defense conceded an average of 1.44 goals
Dortmund scored an average of 2.06 goals per match
The visitors conceded an average of only 1.00 goal per game
历史交锋
A total of 4 head-to-head matches took place in recent years
Stuttgart celebrated 2 wins, Dortmund secured 1 win, with 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 10-7 in favor of VfB Stuttgart
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for Dortmund
关键球员
Deniz Undav impresses with 19 season goals and 7 assists
Ermedin Demirovic scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches
Chris Führich contributed 7 goals and 7 assists this season
Serhou Guirassy is in top form with 17 goals, including 5 in his last 5 games
Nico Schlotterbeck boasts a strong average season rating of 7.32
Felix Nmecha recently scored 2 goals in 5 games
门将
Fabian Bredlow started in goal for Stuttgart in 4 of the last 5 matches, averaging a 6.94 rating
On the other side, Gregor Kobel recorded an impressive 15 clean sheets in 34 season games
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at MHPArena
The MHPArena is known for high-scoring games, averaging 3.8 goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the games played at this venue