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Bundesliga

Schalke 04 - Elversberg

09/20/2026, 03:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Schalke 04
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Elversberg
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
S0ELV

Schalke 04

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-1.15
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.54
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均2.4球)
-0.45
全员可用

Elversberg

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.50
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.47
+1.47
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

26%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

74%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Home advantage for Schalke: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 52%
  • Tactical focus: Both teams play a counter-oriented style with Schalke averaging 34% and Elversberg 37% possession
  • Offensive threat: Elversberg averages 2.67 goals scored per game
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Elversberg concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match
  • Limited data availability on player statistics
  • First home game for Schalke: No home record established yet this season
概述

Schalke 04 (11th place, 4 points) faces Elversberg (8th place, 6 points)

Bundesliga match on September 20, 2026, 5:30 PM at the Veltins-Arena

Both teams aim to establish themselves in the mid-table

近期状态

Schalke 04 has a form of LDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recently they won 3-1 against FC Union Berlin

Elversberg enters with a form of WWL

The visitors lost their last match 1-2 against FC Bayern München

统计数据

Schalke averages 1 goal scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game

The Royal Blues play their first home game of the season

Elversberg averages 2.67 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded

The visitors showed high offensive output with 8 goals in 3 matches

门将

Loris Karius starts in goal for Schalke and kept 1 clean sheet so far

Nicolas Kristof guards the goal for Elversberg and still waits for his first clean sheet

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Veltins-Arena

The only previous match at this venue ended goalless

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