Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - FC Union Berlin
09/18/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.4
0.8
2:0
11%3:0
9%2:1
9%1:1
8%3:1
8%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
FC Union Berlin
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
74%
平局
17%
客胜
9%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
91%
客胜或平局
26%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 74% probability and expects 2.58 goals for Munich
- FC Bayern recently averaged 70% possession and an impressive 7.8 shots on target per match
- Berlin travels weakened with Aljoscha Kemlein, Livan Burcu, and Josip Juranovic missing, leaving only 74% of their typical starting strength
风险因素
- Union Berlin's away defense is highly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per away match
- The Berliners head into this fixture in a form crisis after suffering two consecutive defeats
概述
FC Bayern München (4th place, 7 points) host FC Union Berlin (16th place, 1 point) at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on September 18, 2026, 8:30 PM
The hosts enter this fixture as clear favorites
近期状态
FC Bayern München in strong form (WWDWW - W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Most recently won 2-1 against Elversberg
FC Union Berlin struggling with two consecutive defeats (WWDLL)
Recently suffered a 1-3 loss against Schalke 04
统计数据
Munich boasting a powerful attack with 122 goals in 34 season matches (average 3.59)
Their defense conceded an average of 1.06 goals per game
Union Berlin scored 44 goals in 34 season matches (average 1.29)
On the road, the Berliners conceded an average of 2.29 goals per game
历史交锋
Head-to-head record from the last 5 matches favors Munich
3 wins for FC Bayern and 2 draws
Goal difference of 13-5 in favor of the home team
The last direct encounter ended in a clear 4-0 home win for FC Bayern
关键球员
Harry Kane (36 goals, 5 assists), Michael Olise (15 goals, 19 assists), and Luis Díaz (15 goals, 14 assists) form a highly dangerous attack
Rani Khedira (5 goals), Woo-yeong Jeong (4 goals), and András Schäfer (2 goals) anchor the midfield response
门将
Manuel Neuer played 22 games in goal for FC Bayern this season
Frederik Rønnow guarded the Berlin goal in 30 matches this season
Both keepers share a similar average rating (Neuer: 6.63 vs Rønnow: 6.67)
影响因素
Matches at the Allianz Arena average 5.0 goals per game
FC Bayern scores an average of 3.58 goals per home match
The grass surface provides optimal conditions for fast passing play