Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - FC Köln
09/19/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Hamburger SV
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
29%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Attacking efficiency: Köln score consistently with 1.46 goals per game, while Hamburg's attack has stalled recently at 0.8 goals
- Tactical advantage: Köln averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Hamburg's 3.8
- Model tendency: The prediction model sees a slight edge for the visitors with an away win probability of 38%
风险因素
- Away defense weakness: Köln conceded a high average of 2.54 goals per away game this season
- Hamburg's low form: The hosts lost three consecutive matches with a goal difference of 0-12
- Offensive deficits: Hamburg averaged only 3.8 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Hamburger SV host FC Köln at the Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga match on September 19, 2026, 3:30 PM
Matchup between the bottom-placed team and 12th-placed Köln
Hamburger SV are still without points after three matches
Köln aim to secure their spot in the midfield with a win
近期状态
Hamburger SV show a form of WDLLL in their recent matches
The hosts have lost three consecutive games lately
FC Köln arrive with a form of LLWLD
Köln drew their last match against Werder Bremen
统计数据
Hamburger SV scored an average of 1.18 goals per game this season and conceded 1.59
Hamburg's goalscoring has stalled recently with an average of 0.8 goals per match
FC Köln score consistently with an average of 1.46 goals while conceding 1.85 per game
Köln concede an average of 2.54 goals per match when playing away
历史交锋
Two recent head-to-head matches between the teams
FC Köln lead the record with one win and one draw
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 14, 2026
Köln scored five goals in these matches compared to Hamburg's two
关键球员
Fábio Vieira is a key performer in Hamburg's midfield with 7 goals and 5 assists in 29 games
Albert Sambi Lokonga contributed 5 goals in 26 appearances
Said El Mala is Köln's most dangerous attacker with 13 goals and 5 assists in 34 matches
Not nominated for Köln are Marius Bülter (5T/4A) and Ísak Jóhannesson (1T/2A)
门将
Daniel Heuer Fernandes played 33 times in goal for Hamburger SV with a 6.87 average rating
Marvin Schwäbe completed 34 matches for FC Köln with a 6.83 rating
Both goalkeepers show a declining form trend recently
影响因素
The Volksparkstadion features a natural grass surface providing familiar conditions
An average of 3.4 goals per match was scored in the last five home games
Both teams scored in 80% of these home matches
Köln's away weakness with 2.54 goals conceded per game could strengthen the home advantage