🇩🇪

Bundesliga

Paderborn - TSG Hoffenheim

09/20/2026, 05:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Paderborn
1.8
Total xG
3.2
TSG Hoffenheim
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PADTH

Paderborn

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.3倍)
-1.96
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.35
全员可用

TSG Hoffenheim

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.17
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.17
Tim Lemperle替补席 (8球, 2助攻)
Albian Hajdari替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.41
+1.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

25%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

75%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 47% of Hoffenheim's starting strength available as Tim Lemperle and Albian Hajdari are missing
  • Tactical metrics: Hoffenheim averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Home win tendency: The mathematical model estimates a 46% probability for a Paderborn victory
风险因素
  • Attack concerns: Paderborn has failed to score a single goal this season
  • Defensive vulnerability: Hoffenheim concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away match
  • Restricted dataset regarding historic head-to-head meetings
概述

Paderborn hosts TSG Hoffenheim at the Home Deluxe Arena

Bundesliga match on September 20, 2026, 5:30 PM

Paderborn sits in 16th place with one point

TSG Hoffenheim travels as the 13th-placed team with three points

Both sides are eager to climb out of the lower ranks

近期状态

Paderborn's recent form stands at one draw and two losses (DLL)

The hosts suffer from a consecutive run of two defeats

Hoffenheim recorded two wins and three losses (WLLLW)

The visitors secured a win against Stuttgart in their last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Paderborn is yet to score their first goal of the Bundesliga season

The home side conceded an average of 1.33 goals per match

Hoffenheim averaged 1.91 goals scored per game over their season

The visitors conceded an average of 1.53 goals per match

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 24 of Hoffenheim's 34 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches available in the provided dataset

关键球员

Adam Hlozek shows rising form with two goals in his last five appearances

Ozan Kabak remains stable in defense with a season rating of 6.95

Wouter Burger controls the midfield with a season rating of 7.12

门将

Goalkeeper Oliver Baumann played 34 season games for Hoffenheim

Baumann holds a stable average season rating of 6.77

Nahuel Noll guards the home goal with a venue rating of 7.28

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn conceded only one goal at home so far

Hoffenheim averages 1.88 goals scored and 1.94 conceded in away games

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。