Ligue 1
Nantes - Nice
01/25/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.3
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
36%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
64%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Massive weakening for Nice: The absence of their top scorer Sofiane Diop (6 goals) and striker Terem Moffi (2 goals) drastically reduces their offensive power
- Extremely vulnerable defenses: Nice concedes an average of 2.88 goals away, while Nantes concedes 1.7 goals per game at home, suggesting goals on both sides
- Relegation battle of the out-of-form: 16th place vs 15th, with both teams having only one win from their last five games, points to an unpredictable and error-prone match
风险因素
- Unpredictability due to poor form: With both teams struggling, the form on the day or a single mistake could decide the match
- Compensation for absences: There is a risk that Nice's remaining players might overcompensate for the absences with a strong team effort
- High-scoring venue vs. weak offenses: Although the stadium sees many goals, there's a risk that the weak forward lines of both teams (0.94 and 1.17 goals/game respectively) won't follow this trend
概述
Nantes (16th place, 14 points) hosts Nice (15th place, 18 points) at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. The Ligue 1 match takes place on January 25, 2026, at 3:00 PM. It's a direct clash in the bottom third of the table, where both teams are looking to secure vital points to avoid the relegation battle.
近期状态
Nantes: LLLWL - 1 win, 4 losses in the last 5 games
Nice: LLDLW - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games
Both teams are showing poor form and struggling for consistency (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Nantes scores an average of 0.94 goals per game this season and concedes 1.67
Nice averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded
Nice's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.88 goals per game
Nantes has conceded 17 goals in 10 home matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes has 3 wins, Nice has 1 win, and there has been 1 draw
The goal difference is 6:4 in favor of Nantes
The last encounter ended in a 1-0 victory for Nice
关键球员
Matthis Abline has scored 3 goals for Nantes this season and his form is on the rise
Youssef El Arabi is also an important attacker for the home team with 3 season goals
For Nice, Elye Wahi has scored 2 goals this season
Tiago Gouveia is in rising form, having scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances for the visitors
门将
Nantes' goalkeeper Anthony Lopes has kept 3 clean sheets in 17 appearances this season
Maxime Dupé is in goal for Nice and has yet to keep a clean sheet in his 2 appearances so far
影响因素
The Stade de la Beaujoire is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per match in recent fixtures
Both teams scored in 80% of the last games at this stadium
Nantes has a poor record on their home turf with 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses
Nice also struggles on the road, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses