Super League
Thun - Lausanne Sport
02/12/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:0
7%3:1
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
25%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Superior form vs. form crisis: Thun comes with a five-game winning streak, while Lausanne Sport has lost four of their last five league games
- Home and artificial turf advantage: Thun is strong at home and proven on artificial turf, while Lausanne is still winless on this surface this season
- Offensive dominance: With an average of 2.22 goals per game, Thun has one of the best offenses in the league; the mathematical forecast expects 1.95 goals for the home team
风险因素
- Last encounter: Lausanne Sport won the last head-to-head match, which could give them confidence
- Short recovery time: Both teams had only four days of rest since their last game, which could lead to fatigue
- Missing goal threat for visitors: Lausanne must do without Theo Bair (6 season goals), meaning about 32% of their usual goal threat is missing
概述
Thun (1st place, 52 points) hosts Lausanne Sport (7th place, 29 points) at the Stockhorn Arena
Super League match on February 12, 2026, 8:30 PM
The league leader enters the match as the clear favorite, aiming to extend their lead at the top
The mathematical analysis supports this with a 53% win probability for Thun
近期状态
Clear imbalance in form between the teams
Thun is in outstanding shape with five wins from their last five matches (Form: WWWWW)
Lausanne Sport has been inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games across all competitions (Form: WWDLD)
In the league, Lausanne's form is significantly weaker with four losses in their last five matches (WLLLL)
统计数据
Thun has the far more dangerous attack
The home team scores an average of 2.22 goals per game, while Lausanne Sport averages 1.48 goals
Defensively, Lausanne is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.62 goals
Matches at the Stockhorn Arena are often high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals in Thun's last five home games
历史交锋
The historical comparison favors Thun
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, there have been 3 wins for Thun, 1 win for Lausanne Sport, and 1 draw
The goal difference is 9:4 in favor of Thun
However, Lausanne Sport won the most recent meeting 2:1
关键球员
Elmin Rastoder (8 season goals, 4 assists)
Leonardo Bertone (7 season goals, 1 assist)
Kastriot Imeri (4 season goals, 5 assists)
Gaoussou Diakité (6 season goals, 4 assists)
Beyatt Lekoueiry (4 season goals, 1 assist)
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji (3 season goals, 3 assists)
门将
Niklas Steffen (Thun) has kept 4 clean sheets this season
Karlo Letica (Lausanne Sport) has 5 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers have a similar record regarding clean sheets
影响因素
Thun's home advantage is amplified by the playing surface
Thun is very strong on their home artificial turf (6 wins from 10 matches)
Lausanne Sport has not won a game on artificial turf this season (1 draw, 1 loss)
The Stockhorn Arena is known for high-scoring games (3.8 goals on average in recent matches)